2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 5 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 8 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 5 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 8 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYM RHB
Bo Bichette

Bo Bichette

RHB
NYM · 78 appearances tracked
9
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
11.5%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
10.0%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
90.9
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.108
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#9
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.127
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
27th pctile
90.5
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
72th pctile
9.5%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
64th pctile
23.5% vs LHP
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
91th pctile
382
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
23th pctile
11.5%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
35.7%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
19.0%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
90th pctile
45
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
Loading matchup data...
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 10 games · 9 HRs in 78 games
Due (1×)
0.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
0
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
10
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
78
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
5
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#135.6
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
78 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #152 Javier Assad R/R * 9.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 💥
2026-06-24 #118 Shota Imanaga R/R * 16.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 💥
2026-06-23 #105 Edward Cabrera R/R * 13.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 💥
2026-06-22 #126 Shota Imanaga R/L * 13.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-06-21 #125 Zack Wheeler R/R * 11.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #145 Cristopher Sánchez R/L * 13.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #55 Aaron Nola R/R * 13.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #67 Nick Lodolo R/L * 18.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #74 Brady Singer R/R * 16.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #74 Chase Burns R/R * 12.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #153 Bryce Elder R/R * 12.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #128 Martín Pérez R/L * 15.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-12 #167 Spencer Strider R/R * 5.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-11 #89 Hunter Dobbins R/R * 6.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-10 #157 Andre Pallante · 6.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-09 #177 Dustin May · 5.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-07 #158 Randy Vásquez · 6.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-06 #166 Griffin Canning · 4.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-05 #190 Michael King · 6.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-03 #222 George Kirby · 5.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-02 #132 Logan Gilbert · 6.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-01 #75 Emerson Hancock · 8.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-31 #131 John King · 11.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-30 #119 Tyler Phillips · 8.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-29 #118 Max Meyer · 9.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-27 #106 Andrew Abbott · 13.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-26 #99 Chase Burns · 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-25 #44 Nick Lodolo · 17.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-24 #117 Tyler Phillips · 9.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-23 #130 Max Meyer · 10.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #116 Eury Pérez · 12.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-21 #86 Cade Cavalli · 6.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-20 #140 Zack Littell · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-19 #189 Foster Griffin · 7.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-18 #233 Jake Irvin · 7.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-17 #206 Elmer Rodríguez · 6.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-15 #245 Cam Schlittler · 6.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-14 #178 Keider Montero · 4.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-13 #234 Framber Valdez · 6.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-12 #188 Jack Flaherty · 6.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-10 #218 Eduardo Rodriguez · 6.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-09 #225 Merrill Kelly · 5.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-08 #198 Ryne Nelson · 6.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-07 #22 Jose Quintana · 8.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-06 #77 Michael Lorenzen · 7.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-05 #145 Michael Lorenzen · 8.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-04 #39 Tomoyuki Sugano · 9.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-03 #124 Jack Kochanowicz · 6.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-02 #133 Reid Detmers · 6.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #118 Walbert Urena · 6.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-30 #64 Miles Mikolas · 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-29 #206 Cade Cavalli · 4.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-28 #170 Zack Littell · 5.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-26 #166 Jose Quintana · 7.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-25 #231 Jose Quintana · 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-24 #219 Michael Lorenzen · 6.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-23 #128 Joe Ryan · 6.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-22 #220 Connor Prielipp · 5.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-21 #195 Simeon Woods Richardson · 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-19 #187 Javier Assad · 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-18 #185 Jameson Taillon · 9.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-17 #213 Edward Cabrera · 6.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-14 #47 Jacob Misiorowski · 14.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-12 #61 Aaron Civale · 9.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-11 #99 Joe Ryan · 10.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-10 #97 J.T. Ginn · 12.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-08 #147 Shohei Ohtani · 7.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-07 #115 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 9.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-06 #91 Justin Wrobleski · 10.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-05 #103 Davis Martin · 12.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-04 #220 Grant Taylor · 1.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-02 #9 Sean Burke · 12.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-01 #93 Kyle Freeland · 12.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-31 #93 Ryan Feltner · 12.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-30 #61 Tomoyuki Sugano · 14.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-29 #136 Carmen Mlodzinski · 10.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-28 #131 Mitch Keller · 10.9% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-03-27 #54 Luis Severino · 12.2% ⚪ D · — · · ·
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