2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
NYM Bullpen Proxy PHI
8 matchups scored · 1 game days
0 HRs Allowed
0.0% HR Rate (Pool)
12.5% Overall HR/FB
3.98 FIP
3.98 xFIP
+0.00 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
12.5%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
49th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
50.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.98
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
48th pctile
3.98
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.00
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
50th pctile
0.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
8
Pool Matchups
0
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
0.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 8 1 0 0.0% 0.0 92.8mph · · · Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 8 1 0 0.0% 0.0 92.8mph · · · Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 8 1 0 0.0% 0.0 92.8mph · · · Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
8 tracked BBE from 8 pool matchups
92.8
105.3
4
0
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-26 Bryce Harper 105.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-26 Trea Turner 104.0mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
1 days · 0 total HRs
HRs Allowed
0 home runs against scored batters
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
50.0%
50.0%
All Scored Matchups
8 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-26 Trea Turner #195 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-26 Alec Bohm #161 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 Bryson Stott #127 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-26 Edmundo Sosa #100 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 Derek Hill #81 51 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-26 Brandon Marsh #60 56 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-26 Bryce Harper #10 70 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-26 Kyle Schwarber #2 88 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
Six home runs to freedom

NYM Bullpen Proxy's full pitcher profile is waiting

Upgrade to see vulnerability signals, today’s threat breakdown, recent splits, batted-ball damage, and every scored matchup.

8 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.3.21 · build 521

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.