2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MIN SHB
Brooks Lee

Brooks Lee

SHB
MIN · 72 appearances tracked
12
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
16.7%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
17.6%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
87.8
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.163
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#20
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 4 games · 12 HRs in 72 games
Due (1×)
0.2×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
1
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
4
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
72
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
5
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
1
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
8%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#130.2
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
1 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-06-18 #50 Jack Leiter Globe Life Field S/R ⚠️ 104.3 mph 365 ft
All Appearances
72 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #110 Shohei Ohtani S/R * 15.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #98 Justin Wrobleski S/L * 12.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-22 #59 Eric Lauer S/L * 18.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #96 AZ Bullpen Proxy S/ 15.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #75 Zac Gallen S/R * 17.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #100 Michael Soroka S/R * 18.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #50 Jack Leiter S/R * 15.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-16 #103 Kumar Rocker S/R * 15.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #60 Michael McGreevy S/R * 21.8% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #65 Matthew Liberatore S/L * 17.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #69 Kyle Leahy S/R * 21.1% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-11 #49 Keider Montero · 19.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-10 #109 Framber Valdez · 16.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-09 #167 Troy Melton · 13.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-07 #90 Noah Cameron · 16.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-06 #88 Luinder Avila · 16.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-05 #126 Michael Wacha · 14.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-04 #84 Seth Lugo · 13.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-03 #94 Erick Fedde · 15.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-02 #158 Davis Martin · 13.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-01 #74 David Sandlin · 15.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-31 #217 Braxton Ashcraft · 7.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-28 #50 Davis Martin · 10.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-27 #111 David Sandlin · 10.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-26 #96 Sean Burke · 10.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-25 #97 Anthony Kay · 11.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-24 #234 Sonny Gray · 7.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-23 #193 Jovani Morán · 9.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-22 #240 Payton Tolle · 7.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-19 #197 Jason Alexander · 6.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-18 #161 Tatsuya Imai · 10.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-17 #187 Robert Gasser · 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-16 #211 Logan Henderson · 6.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-14 #141 Braxton Garrett · 9.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-13 #142 Max Meyer · 10.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-12 #88 Eury Pérez · 11.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-10 #147 Gavin Williams · 12.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-09 #131 Tanner Bibee · 14.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-08 #87 Parker Messick · 14.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-07 #83 Jake Irvin · 11.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-06 #120 Miles Mikolas · 14.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-05 #136 Cade Cavalli · 12.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-02 #162 Dylan Cease · 10.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-01 #161 Patrick Corbin · 13.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-30 #85 Kevin Gausman · 13.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-29 #210 George Kirby · 10.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-28 #193 Logan Gilbert · 18.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-27 #106 Luis Castillo · 18.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #141 Griffin Jax · 14.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-25 #146 Shane McClanahan · 17.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-24 #147 Drew Rasmussen · 23.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-23 #96 Christian Scott · 17.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-22 #203 Clay Holmes · 14.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-21 #204 Nolan McLean · 13.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-19 #223 Brady Singer · 16.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-18 #229 Andrew Abbott · 17.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-17 #190 Brandon Williamson · 20.4% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-14 #95 Sonny Gray · 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-13 #43 Garrett Crochet · 7.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-11 #159 Eric Lauer · 7.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-10 #168 Patrick Corbin · 7.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-04-09 #64 Jack Flaherty · 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-08 #176 Framber Valdez · 6.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-07 #167 Tarik Skubal · 7.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-06 #129 Casey Mize · 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-05 #148 Nick Martinez · 9.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-04 #145 Steven Matz · 9.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-02 #20 Cole Ragans · 10.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-01 #147 Noah Cameron · 10.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-30 #201 Kris Bubic · 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-28 #80 Kyle Bradish · 13.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-26 #141 Trevor Rogers · 7.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
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