2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Austin Wells
Austin Wells
NYY LHB
Austin Wells

Austin Wells

LHB
NYY · 50 appearances tracked
4
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
8.0%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
12.3%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
91.0
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.135
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#14
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 8 games · 4 HRs in 50 games
Due (1×)
1.5×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
12
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
8
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
50
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
8
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#120.4
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
50 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #228 Tarik Skubal L/L * 8.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 #205 Casey Mize L/R * 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 #159 Chase Burns · 10.6% ⚪ D · — ⚠️ ·
2026-06-05 #174 Sonny Gray · 8.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-03 #187 Gavin Williams · 8.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-02 #188 Joey Cantillo · 9.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-31 #146 Jacob Lopez · 11.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-30 #163 J.T. Ginn · 14.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-29 #79 Luis Severino · 11.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-27 #127 Noah Cameron · 9.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-26 #109 Bailey Falter · 10.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-24 #91 Drew Rasmussen · 15.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #192 Nick Martinez · 7.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-21 #77 Braydon Fisher · 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-20 #176 Trey Yesavage · 7.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-19 #157 Dylan Cease · 6.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-18 #93 Patrick Corbin · 8.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-16 #147 Huascar Brazobán · 5.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-15 #218 Clay Holmes · 7.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-11 #27 Brandon Young · 12.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-10 #121 Logan Henderson · 10.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-09 #136 Kyle Harrison · 13.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-08 #107 Jacob Misiorowski · 15.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-06 #25 Nathan Eovaldi · 24.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-05 #50 Jacob deGrom · 20.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-04 #40 Shane Baz · 16.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-02 #44 Kyle Bradish · 16.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-29 #151 Nathan Eovaldi · 19.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-28 #173 Jacob deGrom · 9.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-27 #116 Jack Leiter · 7.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-25 #120 Mike Burrows · 9.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-23 #141 Payton Tolle · 5.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-22 #210 Ranger Suarez · 6.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-21 #206 Connelly Early · 5.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-19 #66 Cole Ragans · 9.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-18 #105 Noah Cameron · 8.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-17 #120 Michael Wacha · 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-14 #127 Reid Detmers · 1.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-11 #75 Nick Martinez · 12.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-10 #104 Steven Matz · 11.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-09 #26 Jeffrey Springs · 14.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-08 #81 Luis Severino · 12.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-07 #64 Aaron Civale · 14.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-05 #31 Chris Paddack · 15.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-04 #14 Max Meyer · 18.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-01 #103 George Kirby · 12.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-31 #86 Logan Gilbert · 13.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-30 #134 Luis Castillo · 11.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-28 #217 Tyler Mahle · 7.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-27 #83 Robbie Ray · 10.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
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