2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander
BAL RHB
Blaze Alexander

Blaze Alexander

RHB
BAL · 49 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
6.1%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
2.9%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
92.2
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.053
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#48
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 9 games · 3 HRs in 49 games
Due (1×)
0.1×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
1
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
9
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
49
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
1
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#143.6
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
49 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #164 José Soriano R/R * 6.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #134 Emmet Sheehan R/R * 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-20 #110 Yoshinobu Yamamoto R/R * 9.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #58 Roki Sasaki R/R * 10.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #89 Bryan Woo R/R * 6.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-14 #83 Walker Buehler R/R * 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #53 Randy Vásquez R/R * 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-10 #100 George Kirby · 14.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-08 #83 Emerson Hancock · 13.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-07 #176 Kevin Gausman · 12.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-06 #200 Braydon Fisher · 9.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-06-03 #202 Payton Tolle · 5.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-02 #148 Connelly Early · 5.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-31 #178 Spencer Miles · 6.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-28 #48 Patrick Corbin · 7.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-27 #150 Steven Matz · 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-26 #154 Griffin Jax · 7.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-25 #152 Shane McClanahan · 6.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-24 #200 Framber Valdez · 6.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-24 #155 Troy Melton · 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-20 #243 Steven Matz · 7.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-13 #248 Max Fried · 6.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-12 #239 Will Warren · 7.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-11 #58 Ryan Weathers · 10.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-10 #74 Luis Severino · 10.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-09 #87 Aaron Civale · 8.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-08 #62 Jacob Lopez · 9.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-07 #168 Max Meyer · 5.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #230 Eury Pérez · 7.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-05 #178 Sandy Alcantara · 5.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-04 #102 Cam Schlittler · 8.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-03 #96 Max Fried · 6.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-02 #77 Ryan Weathers · 10.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-01 #89 Will Warren · 6.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-30 #141 Peter Lambert · 8.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-30 #107 Lance McCullers Jr. · 8.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-29 #137 Peter Lambert · 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-28 #139 Kai-Wei Teng · 7.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-26 #185 Connelly Early · 8.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-25 #170 Garrett Crochet · 11.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-22 #250 Michael Wacha · 5.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-21 #231 Kris Bubic · 5.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-20 #166 Seth Lugo · 5.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-19 #202 Joey Cantillo · 8.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-18 #195 Gavin Williams · 8.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-17 #182 Tanner Bibee · 9.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-16 #127 Parker Messick · 7.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-15 #109 Eduardo Rodriguez · 1.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-10 #109 Landen Roupp · 11.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
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