2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Bobby Witt Jr.

Bobby Witt Jr.

KC · 59 appearances tracked
8
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
13.6%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
9.9%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
93.2
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.164
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#14
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 2 games · 8 HRs in 59 games
Due (1×)
4.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
8
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
2
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
59
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
13
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
2
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
25%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#90.7
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
2 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-05-04 #29 Tanner Bibee Kauffman Stadium · · · 107.1 mph 422.0 ft
2026-05-07 #31 Slade Cecconi Kauffman Stadium · · · 104.9 mph 407.0 ft
All Appearances
59 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-04 #87 Andrew Morris · 8.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-03 #30 Chase Burns · 13.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-02 #24 Andrew Abbott · 14.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-01 #14 Lyon Richardson · 15.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-31 #73 Jack Leiter · 11.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-30 #67 Kumar Rocker · 14.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-29 #92 MacKenzie Gore · 10.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-27 #48 Gerrit Cole · 17.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-26 #94 Cam Schlittler · 13.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-25 #116 Will Warren · 8.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-24 #124 Bryan Woo · 9.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-23 #129 George Kirby · 15.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-22 #55 Logan Gilbert · 21.3% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-20 #51 Connelly Early · 16.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-19 #56 Ranger Suarez · 18.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-18 #42 Sonny Gray · 25.5% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-17 #51 Andre Pallante · 21.3% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-16 #33 Kyle Leahy · 21.1% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-15 #63 Dustin May · 20.6% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-14 #35 Anthony Kay · 20.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-13 #152 Noah Schultz · 13.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-12 #120 Erick Fedde · 19.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-09 #85 Burch Smith · 11.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-08 #64 Keider Montero · 13.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-07 #31 Slade Cecconi · 14.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-06 #57 Joey Cantillo · 14.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-05 #65 Gavin Williams · 16.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-04 #29 Tanner Bibee · 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-03 #90 Luis Castillo · 7.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-02 #48 Emerson Hancock · 8.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-01 #111 Bryan Woo · 6.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-30 #89 Jeffrey Springs · 10.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-29 #62 Luis Severino · 10.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #173 Reid Detmers · 4.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-25 #202 Walbert Urena · 5.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-24 #161 Yusei Kikuchi · 6.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-22 #138 Chris Bassitt · 5.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-21 #138 Shane Baz · 5.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-20 #83 Kyle Bradish · 5.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-19 #45 Ryan Weathers · 8.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #74 Will Warren · 7.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-17 #92 Cam Schlittler · 5.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-16 #104 Keider Montero · 5.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-15 #54 Jack Flaherty · 9.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-14 #134 Framber Valdez · 1.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-11 #108 Erick Fedde · 9.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-10 #125 Davis Martin · 10.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-09 #44 Anthony Kay · 9.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-08 #103 Joey Cantillo · 10.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-07 #86 Gavin Williams · 11.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-06 #80 Tanner Bibee · 11.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-05 #147 Kyle Harrison · 10.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-04 #225 Brandon Sproat · 1.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-04 #149 Chad Patrick · 9.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-02 #22 Taj Bradley · 10.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-01 #146 Joe Ryan · 10.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-30 #153 Simeon Woods Richardson · 10.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-29 #95 Grant Holmes · 13.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-28 #184 Reynaldo López · 9.0% ⚪ D · — · · ·
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