2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Brady House

Brady House

WSH · 29 appearances tracked
4
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
13.8%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
18.6%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
89.2
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.134
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#26
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 4 games · 4 HRs in 29 games
Due (1×)
1.5×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
6
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
4
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
29
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
2
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
1
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
25%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#122.5
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
1 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-05-12 #49 Brady Singer Great American Ball Park · · · 104.6 mph 393.0 ft
All Appearances
29 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-21 #57 David Peterson · 11.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-20 #92 Zach Thornton · 18.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-18 #110 Christian Scott · 18.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-17 #124 Brandon Young · 18.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-15 #110 Shane Baz · 19.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-14 #54 Chase Burns · 17.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-12 #49 Brady Singer · 22.6% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-10 #115 Sandy Alcantara · 13.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-09 #120 Janson Junk · 13.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-07 #61 Simeon Woods Richardson · 20.4% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-06 #161 Bailey Ober · 14.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-05 #83 Taj Bradley · 15.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-02 #73 Kyle Harrison · 15.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-01 #26 Jacob Misiorowski · 18.5% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-29 #232 David Peterson · 5.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-28 #149 Clay Holmes · 8.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-26 #163 Bryan Hudson · 5.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #140 Noah Schultz · 8.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-24 #135 Bryan Hudson · 7.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-21 #103 Reynaldo López · 8.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-20 #87 Bryce Elder · 7.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-19 #128 Robbie Ray · 9.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-18 #178 Adrian Houser · 7.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-17 #184 Logan Webb · 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-16 #136 Braxton Ashcraft · 4.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-14 #156 Mitch Keller · 0.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-12 #90 Brandon Woodruff · 6.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-10 #220 Aaron Ashby · 5.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-28 #216 Cade Horton · 7.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
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