2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEX LHB
Brandon Nimmo

Brandon Nimmo

LHB
TEX · 73 appearances tracked
7
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
9.6%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
16.9%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
91.4
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.169
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#20
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 11 games · 7 HRs in 73 games
Due (1×)
0.1×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
1
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
11
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
73
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
9
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#101.2
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
73 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #81 Eury Pérez L/R * 8.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 #147 Sandy Alcantara L/R * 8.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-22 #131 Tyler Phillips L/R * 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 #155 Wandy Peralta L/L * 8.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #120 Walker Buehler L/R * 8.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #118 Randy Vásquez L/R * 8.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #93 Joe Ryan L/R * 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 #123 Zebby Matthews L/R * 8.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-15 #92 Mike Paredes L/R * 8.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-14 #125 Connelly Early L/L * 9.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #111 Sonny Gray L/R * 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-11 #68 Michael Wacha L/R * 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-10 #108 Seth Lugo · 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-09 #123 Stephen Kolek · 8.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-07 #110 Joey Cantillo · 8.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-06 #63 Tanner Bibee · 10.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-05 #110 Parker Messick · 9.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-03 #79 Andre Pallante · 12.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-02 #66 Dustin May · 16.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-01 #33 Michael McGreevy · 17.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-31 #76 Michael Wacha · 14.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-30 #75 Seth Lugo · 13.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-29 #133 Stephen Kolek · 8.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-28 #39 Spencer Arrighetti · 7.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-27 #83 Mike Burrows · 13.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-26 #71 Jason Alexander · 10.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-25 #58 Tatsuya Imai · 12.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-24 #65 Reid Detmers · 11.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #118 Grayson Rodriguez · 8.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-20 #63 Kyle Freeland · 9.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-19 #64 Sammy Peralta · 13.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-18 #44 Jose Quintana · 15.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-17 #104 Peter Lambert · 7.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-16 #94 Kai-Wei Teng · 10.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-15 #107 Spencer Arrighetti · 6.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-13 #80 Ryne Nelson · 10.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-12 #137 Zac Gallen · 8.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-11 #74 Michael Soroka · 10.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-10 #86 Jameson Taillon · 12.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-09 #123 Edward Cabrera · 12.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-08 #109 Ben Brown · 8.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-07 #26 Paul Blackburn · 11.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #20 Will Warren · 15.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-05 #62 Elmer Rodríguez · 15.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-03 #127 Tyler Holton · 11.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-02 #197 Keider Montero · 9.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #164 Jack Flaherty · 12.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-29 #130 Elmer Rodríguez · 11.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-28 #105 Cam Schlittler · 8.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-27 #70 Max Fried · 6.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #151 J.T. Ginn · 14.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #163 Jeffrey Springs · 17.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-24 #164 Luis Severino · 15.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-23 #72 Bubba Chandler · 15.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-22 #158 Braxton Ashcraft · 12.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-19 #160 Bryan Woo · 12.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #191 George Kirby · 21.8% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-17 #201 Logan Gilbert · 11.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-16 #28 Jacob Lopez · 21.5% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-14 #38 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 16.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-11 #113 Jacob Lopez · 9.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-10 #74 Tyler Glasnow · 14.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-09 #40 Eduardo Rodriguez · 10.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-08 #122 Ryne Nelson · 9.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-07 #88 Zac Gallen · 11.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-05 #137 Logan Webb · 10.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-04 #119 Landen Roupp · 10.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-02 #24 Robbie Ray · 10.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-01 #130 Matthew Liberatore · 11.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-31 #55 Andre Pallante · 14.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-30 #184 Kyle Leahy · 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-29 #103 Jesús Luzardo · 12.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-03-26 #110 Paul Skenes · 9.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
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