2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLE SHB
Brayan Rocchio

Brayan Rocchio

SHB
CLE · 74 appearances tracked
4
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
5.4%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
14.2%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
86.3
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.124
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#72
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 16 games · 4 HRs in 74 games
Due (1×)
1.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
16
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
16
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
74
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
0
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#165.8
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
74 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #207 Erick Fedde S/R * 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #203 Sean Burke S/R * 7.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #172 Anthony Kay S/L * 8.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #185 Kai-Wei Teng S/R * 9.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #184 Spencer Arrighetti S/R * 5.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #154 Tatsuya Imai S/R * 9.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #106 Shane Drohan S/L * 8.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-17 #152 Brandon Sproat S/R * 8.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-16 #145 Robert Gasser S/L * 9.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-14 #205 Casey Mize S/R * 5.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 #198 Tarik Skubal S/L * 6.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-12 #176 Jack Flaherty S/R * 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 #184 Carlos Rodón · 5.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-09 #175 Gerrit Cole · 8.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-08 #105 Will Warren · 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-07 #164 Jacob deGrom · 8.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-06 #178 Jack Leiter · 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-06-05 #181 Kumar Rocker · 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-04 #101 Carlos Rodón · 6.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-03 #203 Gerrit Cole · 6.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-02 #197 Cam Schlittler · 6.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-31 #184 Ranger Suarez · 8.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-30 #220 Sonny Gray · 6.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-29 #163 Tyler Samaniego · 6.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-27 #100 PJ Poulin · 8.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-26 #139 Cade Cavalli · 8.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-25 #112 PJ Poulin · 8.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-24 #81 Andrew Painter · 8.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #207 Cristopher Sánchez · 9.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-21 #110 Casey Mize · 5.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-19 #234 Keider Montero · 7.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-18 #235 Framber Valdez · 7.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-17 #205 Brady Singer · 9.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-16 #199 Chris Paddack · 8.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-15 #208 Andrew Abbott · 8.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-13 #222 Reid Detmers · 6.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-12 #201 Walbert Ureña · 5.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-10 #216 Andrew Morris · 6.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-09 #227 Joe Ryan · 8.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-08 #207 Connor Prielipp · 9.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-07 #120 Seth Lugo · 6.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-06 #135 Cole Ragans · 12.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-05 #207 Stephen Kolek · 11.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-04 #104 Michael Wacha · 9.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-03 #142 Aaron Civale · 7.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-02 #128 Jacob Lopez · 9.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-01 #131 J.T. Ginn · 11.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-29 #207 Drew Rasmussen · 9.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-28 #199 Nick Martinez · 7.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-27 #84 Steven Matz · 12.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-26 #152 Patrick Corbin · 12.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-25 #154 Kevin Gausman · 13.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-24 #129 Max Scherzer · 16.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-22 #116 Peter Lambert · 13.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-21 #72 Ryan Weiss · 17.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-20 #93 Spencer Arrighetti · 18.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-19 #153 Trevor Rogers · 18.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-18 #153 Dean Kremer · 13.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-16 #102 Shane Baz · 9.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-11 #213 Martín Pérez · 4.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-10 #215 Bryce Elder · 5.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-08 #213 Cole Ragans · 4.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-07 #176 Noah Cameron · 6.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-06 #198 Michael Wacha · 3.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-05 #184 Shota Imanaga · 8.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-05 #183 Edward Cabrera · 8.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-04 #163 Shota Imanaga · 8.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-01 #174 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 10.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-31 #189 Shohei Ohtani · 8.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-30 #132 Roki Sasaki · 11.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-29 #157 Emerson Hancock · 8.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-28 #214 Bryan Woo · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-27 #99 George Kirby · 8.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-26 #133 Logan Gilbert · 8.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
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