2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYM LHB
Brett Baty

Brett Baty

LHB
NYM · 73 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
4.1%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
10.9%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
89.9
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.120
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#8
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 19 games · 3 HRs in 73 games
Due (1×)
1.5×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
29
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
19
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
73
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
8
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#137.8
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
73 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #212 Javier Assad L/R * 8.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-06-24 #197 Shota Imanaga L/R * 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-06-23 #160 Edward Cabrera L/R * 8.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-06-21 #171 Zack Wheeler L/R * 8.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #95 Aaron Nola L/R * 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #137 Brady Singer L/R * 10.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #117 Chase Burns L/R * 10.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #218 Bryce Elder L/R * 6.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #183 Spencer Strider L/R * 7.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-11 #102 Hunter Dobbins · 7.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-10 #193 Andre Pallante · 7.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-09 #209 Dustin May · 7.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-07 #186 Randy Vásquez · 7.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-06 #184 Griffin Canning · 10.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-05 #203 Michael King · 7.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-03 #239 George Kirby · 6.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-02 #204 Logan Gilbert · 7.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-01 #123 Emerson Hancock · 7.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-31 #207 John King · 7.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-29 #186 Max Meyer · 6.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-27 #118 Andrew Abbott · 10.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-26 #106 Chase Burns · 12.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-25 #48 Nick Lodolo · 12.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-24 #133 Tyler Phillips · 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-23 #146 Max Meyer · 9.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #81 Eury Pérez · 9.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-21 #51 Cade Cavalli · 10.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-20 #83 Zack Littell · 13.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-19 #105 Foster Griffin · 11.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-18 #156 Jake Irvin · 6.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-17 #102 Elmer Rodríguez · 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-15 #183 Cam Schlittler · 4.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-14 #137 Keider Montero · 5.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-13 #214 Framber Valdez · 6.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-12 #199 Jack Flaherty · 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-10 #240 Eduardo Rodriguez · 6.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-09 #240 Merrill Kelly · 8.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-08 #228 Ryne Nelson · 6.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-07 #58 Jose Quintana · 11.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #125 Michael Lorenzen · 10.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-05 #166 Michael Lorenzen · 10.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-04 #63 Tomoyuki Sugano · 7.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-03 #197 Jack Kochanowicz · 4.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-02 #188 Reid Detmers · 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-01 #172 Walbert Urena · 5.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-30 #108 Miles Mikolas · 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-29 #245 Cade Cavalli · 4.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-28 #155 Zack Littell · 9.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #155 Jose Quintana · 8.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-25 #195 Jose Quintana · 7.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-24 #199 Michael Lorenzen · 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-23 #115 Joe Ryan · 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-22 #221 Connor Prielipp · 5.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-21 #196 Simeon Woods Richardson · 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-19 #144 Javier Assad · 6.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-18 #137 Jameson Taillon · 8.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-17 #173 Edward Cabrera · 5.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-14 #35 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 18.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-12 #41 Aaron Civale · 14.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-11 #79 Jacob Lopez · 12.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-10 #49 J.T. Ginn · 17.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-09 #29 Eduardo Rodriguez · 13.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-08 #86 Ryne Nelson · 11.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-07 #58 Zac Gallen · 14.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-05 #91 Logan Webb · 13.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-04 #72 Landen Roupp · 13.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-02 #8 Robbie Ray · 12.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-01 #52 Matthew Liberatore · 14.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-31 #16 Andre Pallante · 18.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-30 #138 Kyle Leahy · 10.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-29 #77 Carmen Mlodzinski · 14.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-28 #43 Mitch Keller · 15.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-26 #75 Paul Skenes · 11.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
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