2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KC LHB
Carter Jensen

Carter Jensen

LHB
KC · 58 appearances tracked
8
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
13.8%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
20.9%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
90.3
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.201
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#12
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 4 games · 8 HRs in 58 games
Due (1×)
0.8×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
3
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
4
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
58
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
21
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
4
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
50%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#86.3
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
4 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-03-29 #26 Grant Holmes Truist Park · · · 99.6 mph 371.0 ft
2026-04-10 #16 Davis Martin Kauffman Stadium · · · 113.7 mph 425.0 ft
2026-04-18 #19 Will Warren Yankee Stadium · · · 103.4 mph 357.0 ft
2026-04-22 #40 Chris Bassitt Kauffman Stadium · · · 106.3 mph 421.0 ft
All Appearances
58 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #64 Griffin Jax L/R * 14.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #103 Shane McClanahan L/L * 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #86 Drew Rasmussen L/R * 15.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #148 Dustin May L/R * 10.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-19 #78 Michael McGreevy L/R * 11.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #46 Matthew Liberatore L/L * 9.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #77 Zack Littell L/R * 11.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-15 #79 Andrew Alvarez L/L * 8.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #119 Spencer Arrighetti L/R * 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #67 Mike Burrows L/R * 14.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #79 Tatsuya Imai L/R * 14.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-11 #41 Kumar Rocker · 14.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-09 #85 Nathan Eovaldi · 15.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-07 #111 Connor Prielipp · 7.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-06 #130 Joe Ryan · 9.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-05 #123 Zebby Matthews · 10.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-04 #127 Andrew Morris · 7.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-03 #85 Chase Burns · 14.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-01 #44 Lyon Richardson · 13.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-31 #166 Jack Leiter · 9.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-30 #184 Kumar Rocker · 10.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-27 #141 Gerrit Cole · 8.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-26 #212 Cam Schlittler · 7.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-25 #194 Will Warren · 9.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-24 #224 Bryan Woo · 8.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-23 #232 George Kirby · 9.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-22 #165 Logan Gilbert · 13.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-20 #136 Connelly Early · 9.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-19 #143 Ranger Suarez · 7.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-18 #136 Sonny Gray · 11.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-17 #129 Andre Pallante · 12.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-16 #87 Kyle Leahy · 15.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-15 #96 Dustin May · 11.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-13 #82 Noah Schultz · 9.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-12 #57 Erick Fedde · 11.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-09 #75 Burch Smith · 15.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-08 #54 Keider Montero · 15.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-07 #19 Slade Cecconi · 18.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #18 Joey Cantillo · 11.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-05 #38 Gavin Williams · 20.7% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-04 #17 Tanner Bibee · 24.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-03 #45 Luis Castillo · 18.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-02 #16 Emerson Hancock · 35.1% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #41 Bryan Woo · 26.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-30 #17 Jeffrey Springs · 28.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-29 #49 Luis Severino · 27.5% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-26 #97 Reid Detmers · 23.5% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #102 Walbert Urena · 21.6% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-24 #75 Yusei Kikuchi · 25.7% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-22 #40 Chris Bassitt · 22.8% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-21 #41 Shane Baz · 28.3% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-20 #32 Kyle Bradish · 29.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-18 #19 Will Warren · 33.8% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-17 #31 Cam Schlittler · 26.2% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-16 #48 Keider Montero · 24.3% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-15 #12 Jack Flaherty · 24.6% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-10 #16 Davis Martin · 27.6% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-03-29 #26 Grant Holmes · 17.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
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