2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Christian Yelich

Christian Yelich

LHB
MIL · 42 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
7.1%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
21.7%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.7
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.167
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#1
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 18 games · 3 HRs in 42 games
Due (1×)
0.3×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
5
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
18
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
42
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
16
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
1
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
33%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#89.1
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
1 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-05-25 #43 Matthew Liberatore American Family Field · · · 101.8 mph 381.0 ft
All Appearances
42 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #137 Rhett Lowder L/R * 8.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #78 Brady Singer L/R * 11.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #188 Bryce Elder L/R * 8.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #152 Martín Pérez L/L * 9.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #64 Parker Messick L/L * 8.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #156 Gavin Williams L/R * 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-16 #174 Slade Cecconi L/R * 7.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #168 Aaron Nola L/R * 9.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #157 Andrew Painter L/R * 8.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-10 #162 Jack Perkins · 7.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-09 #140 J.T. Ginn · 11.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-08 #60 Jeffrey Springs · 11.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-06 #86 Zach Agnos · 9.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-05 #83 Ryan Feltner · 10.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-04 #76 Adrian Houser · 11.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-03 #160 Logan Webb · 10.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-02 #153 Trevor McDonald · 15.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-01 #99 Landen Roupp · 14.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-31 #48 Tatsuya Imai · 27.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-30 #68 Peter Lambert · 17.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-29 #52 Kai-Wei Teng · 25.1% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-27 #67 Dustin May · 21.7% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-26 #50 Michael McGreevy · 22.7% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-25 #43 Matthew Liberatore · 23.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-23 #43 Roki Sasaki · 22.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-17 #182 Bailey Ober · 10.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-04-18 #201 Sandy Alcantara · 7.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-17 #175 Janson Junk · 8.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-14 #8 Kevin Gausman · 33.1% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-12 #17 Zack Littell · 24.1% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-10 #29 Jake Irvin · 21.7% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-08 #46 Sonny Gray · 16.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-07 #43 Garrett Crochet · 16.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-06 #49 Brayan Bello · 13.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-05 #99 Kris Bubic · 12.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-04 #205 Luinder Avila · 3.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-04 #8 Seth Lugo · 20.5% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-01 #3 Drew Rasmussen · 22.1% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-31 #1 Shane McClanahan · 27.1% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-30 #5 Nick Martinez · 20.0% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-28 #2 Sean Burke · 22.2% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-26 #4 Shane Smith · 18.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
Six home runs to freedom

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LD 3.3.16 · build 516

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