2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEA LHB
Cole Young

Cole Young

LHB
SEA · 76 appearances tracked
7
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
9.2%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
11.9%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
87.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.121
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#44
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 9 games · 7 HRs in 76 games
Due (1×)
0.1×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
1
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
9
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
76
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
1
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#156.5
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
76 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #218 Braxton Ashcraft L/R * 8.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 #193 Mitch Keller L/R * 6.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-21 #203 Payton Tolle L/L * 7.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #141 Connelly Early L/L * 8.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #179 Ranger Suarez L/L * 7.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #99 Shane Baz L/R * 6.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #189 Kyle Bradish L/R * 7.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-16 #186 Brandon Young L/R * 6.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #126 PJ Poulin L/L * 9.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #153 Cade Cavalli L/R * 7.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #125 Zack Littell L/R * 8.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-11 #87 Kyle Bradish · 8.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-06-10 #154 Brandon Young · 8.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-09 #158 Trevor Rogers · 10.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-08 #75 Trey Gibson · 8.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-07 #202 Jack Flaherty · 6.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-06 #209 Keider Montero · 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-05 #213 Framber Valdez · 8.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-03 #213 Freddy Peralta · 7.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-01 #130 Austin Warren · 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-31 #170 Merrill Kelly · 7.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-30 #182 Ryne Nelson · 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-29 #187 Zac Gallen · 5.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-27 #130 Jeffrey Springs · 10.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-25 #114 Aaron Civale · 9.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-24 #239 Seth Lugo · 5.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-23 #224 Stephen Kolek · 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-22 #211 Noah Cameron · 11.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-20 #203 Sean Burke · 6.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-19 #138 Anthony Kay · 11.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-18 #191 Noah Schultz · 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-17 #164 Lucas Giolito · 6.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-16 #207 Walker Buehler · 6.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-15 #205 Randy Vásquez · 5.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-14 #94 Mike Burrows · 10.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-13 #55 Lance McCullers Jr. · 9.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-12 #90 Tatsuya Imai · 8.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-11 #44 Peter Lambert · 7.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-10 #173 Davis Martin · 6.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-09 #99 Anthony Kay · 11.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-08 #183 Sean Burke · 5.5% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-06 #88 Martín Pérez · 10.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-05 #189 Bryce Elder · 6.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-04 #99 JR Ritchie · 8.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-03 #107 Kris Bubic · 10.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-02 #93 Seth Lugo · 6.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #64 Cole Ragans · 15.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-29 #231 Taj Bradley · 6.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-28 #195 Joe Ryan · 7.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-27 #112 Connor Prielipp · 7.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-26 #191 Michael McGreevy · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-25 #186 Matthew Liberatore · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-24 #170 Andre Pallante · 7.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-22 #96 Aaron Civale · 7.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-21 #90 Jacob Lopez · 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-20 #138 J.T. Ginn · 7.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-19 #203 MacKenzie Gore · 7.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #218 Nathan Eovaldi · 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-17 #205 Jacob deGrom · 8.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-16 #123 Walker Buehler · 8.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-15 #137 Randy Vásquez · 0.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-14 #113 Michael King · 3.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-13 #66 Mike Burrows · 4.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-11 #214 Lance McCullers Jr. · 4.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-08 #206 MacKenzie Gore · 5.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-07 #199 Nathan Eovaldi · 5.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-06 #134 Jacob deGrom · 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-05 #111 Ryan Johnson · 11.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-04-04 #120 Jack Kochanowicz · 10.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-01 #223 Cam Schlittler · 7.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-31 #209 Max Fried · 6.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-30 #189 Ryan Weathers · 8.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-29 #158 Slade Cecconi · 8.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-28 #225 Joey Cantillo · 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-27 #95 Gavin Williams · 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-03-26 #139 Tanner Bibee · 8.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
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