2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

SD · 53 appearances tracked
1
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
1.9%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
3.3%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
92.6
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.076
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#26
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
53
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
4
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#173.5
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
53 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-04 #140 Zack Wheeler · 5.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-03 #241 Cristopher Sánchez · 5.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-02 #211 Aaron Nola · 7.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-31 #203 Zack Littell · 6.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-30 #234 Foster Griffin · 7.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-29 #230 Paxton Schultz · 6.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-27 #257 Cristopher Sánchez · 5.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-25 #228 Jesús Luzardo · 5.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-24 #267 Luis Medina · 5.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-22 #231 Jeffrey Springs · 5.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-20 #237 Shohei Ohtani · 5.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-19 #214 Emmet Sheehan · 3.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-18 #216 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 5.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-17 #222 George Kirby · 6.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-16 #220 Logan Gilbert · 5.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-15 #228 Emerson Hancock · 5.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-14 #147 Kyle Harrison · 6.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-13 #257 Jacob Misiorowski · 5.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-12 #224 Brandon Sproat · 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-10 #214 Kyle Leahy · 6.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-09 #230 Dustin May · 5.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-08 #185 Michael McGreevy · 6.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-07 #139 Matthew Liberatore · 5.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-06 #252 Adrian Houser · 7.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-05 #254 Logan Webb · 4.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-04 #194 Trevor McDonald · 4.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-03 #215 Anthony Kay · 6.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-02 #233 Sean Burke · 5.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-01 #246 Noah Schultz · 5.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-29 #204 Jameson Taillon · 7.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-28 #159 Edward Cabrera · 5.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-27 #94 Matthew Boyd · 6.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-26 #132 Ryne Nelson · 6.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-25 #167 Zac Gallen · 5.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-23 #26 Ryan Feltner · 7.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-22 #36 Tomoyuki Sugano · 7.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-19 #84 Reid Detmers · 6.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-18 #35 Yusei Kikuchi · 7.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-17 #42 José Soriano · 6.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-16 #103 Luis Castillo · 5.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-14 #131 Bryan Woo · 1.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-12 #66 Kyle Freeland · 9.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-11 #112 Ryan Feltner · 9.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-10 #106 Tomoyuki Sugano · 11.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-08 #154 Mitch Keller · 7.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-07 #189 Paul Skenes · 5.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-06 #149 Bubba Chandler · 6.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-05 #128 Ranger Suarez · 10.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-04 #210 Connelly Early · 1.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-01 #167 Adrian Houser · 10.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-31 #125 Logan Webb · 11.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-30 #123 Landen Roupp · 11.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-28 #83 Jack Flaherty · 12.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
Six home runs to freedom

Fernando Tatis Jr.'s full profile is waiting

Upgrade to see today’s matchup, HR profile, rank trend, HR history, and every signal behind this batter profile.

53 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.3.16 · build 516

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.