2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Francisco Alvarez

Francisco Alvarez

RHB
NYM · 30 appearances tracked
2
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
6.7%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
21.9%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
89.7
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.179
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#12
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
30
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
10
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#87.9
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
30 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #100 Javier Assad R/R * 9.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 💥
2026-06-23 #95 Edward Cabrera R/R * 10.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 💥
2026-06-22 #119 Shota Imanaga R/L * 8.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-22 #33 Eury Pérez · 18.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-21 #31 Cade Cavalli · 7.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-20 #41 Zack Littell · 9.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-18 #50 Jake Irvin · 11.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-13 #123 Framber Valdez · 9.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-12 #73 Jack Flaherty · 10.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-10 #168 Eduardo Rodriguez · 8.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-09 #144 Merrill Kelly · 9.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-08 #142 Ryne Nelson · 9.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-07 #12 Jose Quintana · 11.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-06 #44 Michael Lorenzen · 11.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-05 #85 Michael Lorenzen · 12.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-04 #20 Tomoyuki Sugano · 13.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-03 #112 Jack Kochanowicz · 9.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-02 #173 Reid Detmers · 9.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-01 #168 Walbert Urena · 10.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-29 #239 Cade Cavalli · 7.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-28 #94 Zack Littell · 11.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-25 #106 Jose Quintana · 13.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-24 #118 Michael Lorenzen · 13.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-23 #58 Joe Ryan · 11.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-22 #83 Connor Prielipp · 12.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-21 #61 Simeon Woods Richardson · 16.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-18 #30 Jameson Taillon · 23.7% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-17 #29 Edward Cabrera · 25.2% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-10 #14 J.T. Ginn · 27.9% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-28 #71 Mitch Keller · 13.4% ⚪ D · — · · ·
Six home runs to freedom

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