2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Gabriel Moreno

Gabriel Moreno

RHB
AZ · 35 appearances tracked
4
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
11.4%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
13.3%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
89.0
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.180
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#17
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 5 games · 4 HRs in 35 games
Due (1×)
1.6×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
8
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
5
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
35
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
5
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#102.5
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
35 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #86 Matthew Liberatore R/L * 11.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #86 Kyle Leahy R/R * 13.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #86 Mike Paredes R/R * 16.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-20 #46 Taj Bradley R/R * 21.9% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 #56 Connor Prielipp R/L * 22.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-17 #96 Sam Aldegheri R/L * 16.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #110 Reid Detmers R/L * 19.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #64 Walbert Ureña R/R * 21.3% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #58 Andrew Abbott R/L * 20.4% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-13 #44 Rhett Lowder R/R * 15.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-06-12 #17 Nick Lodolo R/L * 25.2% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-06-11 #37 Tyler Phillips · 14.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-10 #62 Ryan Gusto · 12.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-09 #86 Max Meyer · 11.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-06-07 #132 Cade Cavalli · 8.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-06 #87 Zack Littell · 8.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-05 #92 Foster Griffin · 12.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-04 #86 Justin Wrobleski · 8.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-03 #175 Shohei Ohtani · 8.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-02 #64 Eric Lauer · 12.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-01 #58 Emmet Sheehan · 12.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-30 #86 Bryan Woo · 15.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-29 #131 George Kirby · 15.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-26 #59 Tyler Mahle · 19.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-25 #170 Landen Roupp · 10.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-17 #80 Michael Lorenzen · 8.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-15 #48 Kyle Freeland · 11.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-25 #143 Germán Márquez · 9.2% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-04-22 #183 Anthony Kay · 6.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-21 #192 Sean Burke · 5.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-19 #218 Kevin Gausman · 5.5% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-18 #176 Max Scherzer · 6.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-17 #157 Eric Lauer · 6.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-14 #138 Trevor Rogers · 1.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-10 #177 Jesús Luzardo · 7.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
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