2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Geraldo Perdomo

Geraldo Perdomo

SHB
AZ · 64 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
4.7%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
7.5%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
87.0
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.125
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#31
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 24 games · 3 HRs in 64 games
Due (1×)
0.4×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
9
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
24
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
64
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
2
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
1
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
33%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#178.0
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
1 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-05-01 #43 Colin Rea Wrigley Field · · · 100.8 mph 366.0 ft
All Appearances
64 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #225 Matthew Liberatore S/L * 6.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #206 Kyle Leahy S/R * 6.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #204 Andre Pallante S/R * 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #197 Mike Paredes S/R * 7.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-20 #187 Taj Bradley S/R * 7.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 #190 Connor Prielipp S/L * 6.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-17 #212 Sam Aldegheri S/L * 5.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #216 Reid Detmers S/L * 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #141 Walbert Ureña S/R * 5.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #182 Andrew Abbott S/L * 8.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-13 #179 Rhett Lowder S/R * 7.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-06-12 #139 Nick Lodolo S/L * 10.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-06-11 #118 Tyler Phillips · 6.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-10 #218 Ryan Gusto · 5.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-09 #216 Max Meyer · 5.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-07 #213 Cade Cavalli · 5.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-06 #182 Zack Littell · 7.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-05 #202 Foster Griffin · 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-04 #144 Justin Wrobleski · 5.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-03 #251 Shohei Ohtani · 5.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-02 #194 Eric Lauer · 6.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-01 #125 Emmet Sheehan · 7.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-31 #223 Bryce Miller · 4.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-30 #216 Bryan Woo · 6.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-29 #232 George Kirby · 5.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-27 #232 Trevor McDonald · 8.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-26 #204 Tyler Mahle · 6.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-25 #211 Landen Roupp · 6.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-24 #252 Jose Quintana · 5.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-22 #227 Tomoyuki Sugano · 7.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-21 #98 Zach Agnos · 5.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-20 #205 Tyler Mahle · 5.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-19 #225 Landen Roupp · 5.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-18 #210 Robbie Ray · 7.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-17 #148 Michael Lorenzen · 10.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-16 #108 Tomoyuki Sugano · 10.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-15 #86 Kyle Freeland · 11.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-13 #137 Kumar Rocker · 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-12 #136 MacKenzie Gore · 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-11 #67 Nathan Eovaldi · 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-10 #188 Huascar Brazobán · 6.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-09 #178 Clay Holmes · 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-08 #190 Nolan McLean · 5.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-07 #165 Mitch Keller · 5.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-06 #267 Paul Skenes · 7.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-05 #175 Bubba Chandler · 8.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-03 #110 Matthew Boyd · 9.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-02 #145 Shota Imanaga · 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-01 #43 Colin Rea · 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-30 #111 Brandon Woodruff · 7.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-29 #107 Brandon Sproat · 9.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-28 #153 Chad Patrick · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-26 #238 Michael King · 6.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-25 #200 Germán Márquez · 9.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-23 #139 Davis Martin · 6.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-22 #217 Anthony Kay · 6.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-21 #215 Sean Burke · 5.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-19 #245 Kevin Gausman · 6.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #232 Max Scherzer · 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-17 #253 Eric Lauer · 7.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-15 #31 Kyle Bradish · 13.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-14 #136 Trevor Rogers · 1.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-12 #140 Andrew Painter · 1.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-10 #158 Jesús Luzardo · 8.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
Six home runs to freedom

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