2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Henry Davis
Henry Davis
PIT RHB
Henry Davis

Henry Davis

RHB
PIT · 32 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
9.4%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
16.3%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
90.4
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.123
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#30
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 5 games · 3 HRs in 32 games
Due (1×)
1.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
5
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
5
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
32
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
2
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#140.0
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
32 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-14 #137 Max Meyer R/R * 12.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 #59 Eric Lauer · 14.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-07 #97 Bryce Elder · 21.3% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-05 #62 Martín Pérez · 17.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-04 #40 Kai-Wei Teng · 17.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-03 #72 Spencer Arrighetti · 18.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-31 #135 Zebby Matthews · 14.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-29 #132 Taj Bradley · 14.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-28 #30 Colin Rea · 16.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-26 #125 Jordan Wicks · 14.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-25 #163 Ben Brown · 8.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-23 #108 Patrick Corbin · 11.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #140 Kevin Gausman · 13.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-21 #85 Dustin May · 7.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-20 #189 Michael McGreevy · 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-19 #128 Matthew Liberatore · 6.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-17 #201 Zack Wheeler · 5.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-16 #204 Cristopher Sánchez · 5.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-30 #180 Hunter Dobbins · 5.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-24 #211 Brandon Woodruff · 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-12 #95 Jameson Taillon · 5.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-11 #183 Edward Cabrera · 6.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-08 #218 Michael King · 4.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-07 #230 Nick Pivetta · 3.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-06 #191 Germán Márquez · 4.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-05 #215 Chris Bassitt · 7.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-04 #178 Shane Baz · 7.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-01 #182 Andrew Abbott · 9.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-31 #96 Brandon Williamson · 12.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-30 #133 Chase Burns · 11.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-29 #137 Nolan McLean · 10.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-26 #125 Freddy Peralta · 8.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
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