2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KC SHB
Isaac Collins

Isaac Collins

SHB
KC · 66 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
4.5%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
10.3%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.7
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.104
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#50
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 19 games · 3 HRs in 66 games
Due (1×)
1.9×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
37
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
19
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
66
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
1
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#157.6
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
66 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #200 Griffin Jax S/R * 8.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #190 Drew Rasmussen S/R * 8.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #221 Dustin May S/R * 6.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #196 Michael McGreevy S/R * 6.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #124 Matthew Liberatore S/L * 6.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #196 Zack Littell S/R * 8.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #143 Andrew Alvarez S/L * 7.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #210 Spencer Arrighetti S/R * 5.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #205 Tatsuya Imai S/R * 7.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-11 #120 Kumar Rocker · 6.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-10 #213 MacKenzie Gore · 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-09 #208 Nathan Eovaldi · 7.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-07 #211 Connor Prielipp · 7.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-06 #213 Joe Ryan · 7.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-05 #198 Zebby Matthews · 7.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-04 #155 Andrew Morris · 5.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-03 #183 Chase Burns · 10.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-01 #93 Lyon Richardson · 9.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-31 #231 Jack Leiter · 7.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-30 #223 Kumar Rocker · 8.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-27 #179 Gerrit Cole · 6.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-25 #202 Will Warren · 7.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-24 #225 Bryan Woo · 6.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-23 #233 George Kirby · 6.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #143 Logan Gilbert · 8.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-20 #124 Connelly Early · 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-18 #118 Sonny Gray · 7.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-17 #114 Andre Pallante · 7.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-16 #107 Kyle Leahy · 9.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-15 #150 Dustin May · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-14 #79 Anthony Kay · 9.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-13 #196 Noah Schultz · 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-12 #180 Erick Fedde · 5.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-09 #111 Burch Smith · 10.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-08 #79 Keider Montero · 10.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-07 #51 Slade Cecconi · 12.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-06 #75 Joey Cantillo · 15.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-05 #172 Gavin Williams · 8.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-04 #76 Tanner Bibee · 10.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-03 #166 Luis Castillo · 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-02 #121 Emerson Hancock · 10.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-01 #184 Bryan Woo · 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-30 #151 Jeffrey Springs · 9.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-29 #161 Luis Severino · 8.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-26 #250 Reid Detmers · 5.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-25 #246 Walbert Urena · 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-24 #206 Yusei Kikuchi · 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-22 #174 Chris Bassitt · 6.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-21 #169 Shane Baz · 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-20 #130 Kyle Bradish · 6.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-19 #78 Ryan Weathers · 10.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-18 #104 Will Warren · 8.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-17 #130 Cam Schlittler · 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-14 #145 Framber Valdez · 0.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-10 #183 Davis Martin · 7.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-08 #138 Sonny Gray · 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-07 #164 Garrett Crochet · 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-06 #150 Brayan Bello · 6.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-05 #216 Kris Bubic · 7.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-04 #228 Luinder Avila · 1.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-04 #102 Seth Lugo · 11.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-01 #98 Drew Rasmussen · 12.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-31 #50 Shane McClanahan · 15.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-30 #129 Nick Martinez · 11.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-03-28 #93 Sean Burke · 12.5% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-03-26 #91 Shane Smith · 10.6% ⚪ D · — · · ·
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