2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOU RHB
Isaac Paredes

Isaac Paredes

RHB
HOU · 76 appearances tracked
8
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
10.5%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
12.2%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
87.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.153
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#10
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 5 games · 8 HRs in 76 games
Due (1×)
1.6×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
8
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
5
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
76
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
20
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
1
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
12%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#98.4
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
1 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-06-15 #35 Jacob Waguespack Minute Maid Park R/R 94.7 mph 358 ft
All Appearances
76 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #102 Trey Yesavage R/R * 14.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #94 TOR Bullpen Proxy R/ 11.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #117 Dylan Cease R/R * 12.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #115 Slade Cecconi R/R * 13.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #119 Joey Cantillo R/L * 8.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #45 Tanner Bibee R/R * 17.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #63 Casey Mize R/R * 19.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-16 #56 Framber Valdez R/L * 12.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-15 #35 Troy Melton R/R * 18.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-06-13 #76 Noah Cameron R/L * 11.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #94 Luinder Avila R/R * 12.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-10 #68 Reid Detmers · 13.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-09 #34 Walbert Ureña · 23.2% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-08 #19 Grayson Rodriguez · 20.7% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-07 #84 Gage Jump · 10.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-06 #47 ATH Bullpen Proxy · 16.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-05 #125 Jack Perkins · 14.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-04 #58 Jared Jones · 15.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-03 #207 Paul Skenes · 10.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-06-02 #114 Bubba Chandler · 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-31 #219 Jacob Misiorowski · 9.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-30 #117 Brandon Sproat · 12.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-29 #128 Coleman Crow · 10.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-28 #87 Nathan Eovaldi · 8.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-27 #202 Jacob deGrom · 7.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-26 #192 Jack Leiter · 7.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-25 #182 Kumar Rocker · 7.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-24 #185 Shota Imanaga · 6.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-23 #176 Colin Rea · 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-22 #113 Jameson Taillon · 11.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-20 #181 Joe Ryan · 5.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-18 #160 Kendry Rojas · 5.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-16 #192 Jacob deGrom · 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-15 #167 Jack Leiter · 7.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-14 #103 Luis Castillo · 9.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-13 #94 Bryce Miller · 6.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-12 #77 Bryan Woo · 9.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-11 #24 George Kirby · 10.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-10 #25 Andrew Abbott · 8.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-09 #24 Chase Burns · 9.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-06 #52 Tyler Glasnow · 14.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-05 #209 Shohei Ohtani · 8.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-04 #16 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 12.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-03 #191 Ranger Suarez · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-02 #170 Connelly Early · 6.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-30 #35 Brandon Young · 20.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-30 #22 Chris Bassitt · 22.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-29 #10 Chris Bassitt · 22.9% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-28 #63 Shane Baz · 19.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-26 #143 Luis Gil · 9.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-25 #100 Ryan Weathers · 10.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-24 #110 Will Warren · 9.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-22 #115 Tanner Bibee · 11.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-21 #128 Parker Messick · 9.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-20 #96 Slade Cecconi · 7.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-19 #143 Matthew Liberatore · 7.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-18 #175 Andre Pallante · 6.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-17 #171 Kyle Leahy · 6.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-16 #99 Juan Mejia · 6.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-15 #45 Jose Quintana · 10.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-13 #18 George Kirby · 13.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-12 #88 Logan Gilbert · 6.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-11 #118 Luis Castillo · 9.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-10 #91 Emerson Hancock · 12.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-08 #53 Michael Lorenzen · 15.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-07 #71 Kyle Freeland · 13.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-06 #50 Ryan Feltner · 13.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-05 #39 Jacob Lopez · 15.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-04 #36 Luis Morales · 15.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-01 #57 Garrett Crochet · 13.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-31 #111 Brayan Bello · 11.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-30 #135 Ranger Suarez · 11.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-29 #40 Jack Kochanowicz · 15.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-28 #82 Reid Detmers · 12.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-27 #44 Yusei Kikuchi · 12.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-26 #30 José Soriano · 14.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
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