2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Iván Herrera
Iván Herrera
STL RHB
Iván Herrera

Iván Herrera

RHB
STL · 47 appearances tracked
6
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
12.8%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
20.3%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
89.6
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.165
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#17
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 7 games · 6 HRs in 47 games
Due (1×)
0.4×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
3
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
7
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
47
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
5
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#112.5
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
47 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #131 AZ Bullpen Proxy R/ 15.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #124 Eduardo Rodriguez R/L * 18.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #84 Merrill Kelly R/R * 15.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #154 Stephen Kolek R/R * 12.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-19 #132 Seth Lugo R/R * 10.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #78 Noah Cameron R/L * 12.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #185 Bradgley Rodriguez R/R * 10.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #133 Michael King R/R * 11.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #105 Wandy Peralta R/L * 11.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #110 Taj Bradley R/R * 10.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-13 #152 Connor Prielipp R/L * 11.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-12 #143 Joe Ryan R/R * 7.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-11 #88 Christian Scott · 8.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-10 #107 Austin Warren · 9.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-09 #135 Freddy Peralta · 8.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-07 #143 Rhett Lowder · 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-06 #70 Nick Lodolo · 13.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-05 #73 Brady Singer · 11.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-03 #74 MacKenzie Gore · 14.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-02 #39 Nathan Eovaldi · 20.9% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-01 #17 Jacob deGrom · 19.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-31 #33 Jordan Wicks · 20.4% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-30 #63 Ben Brown · 17.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-29 #82 Shota Imanaga · 15.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-27 #96 Chad Patrick · 11.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-26 #116 Kyle Harrison · 12.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-25 #115 Jacob Misiorowski · 10.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-24 #41 Brady Singer · 15.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-23 #61 Chris Paddack · 13.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-23 #48 Chase Petty · 13.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-21 #100 Braxton Ashcraft · 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-19 #218 Mitch Keller · 5.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-17 #190 Stephen Kolek · 9.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-16 #190 Noah Cameron · 8.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-15 #200 Michael Wacha · 7.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-14 #67 Jacob Lopez · 14.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #151 Brandon Sproat · 16.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-30 #61 Paul Skenes · 14.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-26 #118 Emerson Hancock · 21.1% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-24 #142 George Kirby · 14.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-22 #136 Janson Junk · 9.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-04-19 #80 Mike Burrows · 12.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-15 #122 Slade Cecconi · 1.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-12 #169 Brayan Bello · 0.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-10 #241 Connelly Early · 1.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-29 #96 Steven Matz · 13.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-28 #74 Joe Boyle · 13.3% ⚪ D · — · · ·
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