2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
J.P. Crawford

J.P. Crawford

SEA · 53 appearances tracked
7
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
13.2%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
13.8%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.6
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.112
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#48
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 7 games · 7 HRs in 53 games
Due (1×)
0.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
0
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
7
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
53
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
1
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#144.8
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
53 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-03 #135 Freddy Peralta · 21.3% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-31 #67 Merrill Kelly · 22.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-27 #72 Jeffrey Springs · 20.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-24 #210 Seth Lugo · 8.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-23 #159 Stephen Kolek · 10.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-22 #171 Noah Cameron · 15.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-20 #148 Sean Burke · 10.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-19 #90 Anthony Kay · 20.2% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-18 #127 Noah Schultz · 16.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-17 #118 Lucas Giolito · 16.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-16 #174 Walker Buehler · 13.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-15 #201 Randy Vásquez · 12.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-14 #81 Mike Burrows · 24.1% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-13 #100 Lance McCullers Jr. · 19.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-12 #138 Tatsuya Imai · 13.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-11 #56 Peter Lambert · 15.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-10 #183 Davis Martin · 13.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-09 #188 Anthony Kay · 13.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-08 #234 Sean Burke · 11.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #108 Martín Pérez · 12.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-05 #225 Bryce Elder · 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-04 #138 JR Ritchie · 8.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-03 #133 Kris Bubic · 8.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-02 #122 Seth Lugo · 6.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-01 #92 Cole Ragans · 11.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-29 #254 Taj Bradley · 5.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-28 #192 Joe Ryan · 6.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-27 #101 Connor Prielipp · 4.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #182 Michael McGreevy · 6.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #172 Matthew Liberatore · 7.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-24 #159 Andre Pallante · 7.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-22 #81 Aaron Civale · 7.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-21 #85 Jacob Lopez · 8.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-20 #105 J.T. Ginn · 7.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-19 #228 MacKenzie Gore · 6.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-18 #248 Nathan Eovaldi · 6.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-17 #232 Jacob deGrom · 6.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-16 #135 Walker Buehler · 6.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-14 #103 Michael King · 4.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-13 #52 Mike Burrows · 5.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-11 #191 Lance McCullers Jr. · 5.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-08 #209 MacKenzie Gore · 5.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-07 #194 Nathan Eovaldi · 5.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-06 #140 Jacob deGrom · 6.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-05 #48 Ryan Johnson · 14.9% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-04-04 #62 Jack Kochanowicz · 13.9% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-04-01 #191 Cam Schlittler · 9.0% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-03-31 #193 Max Fried · 7.8% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-03-30 #145 Ryan Weathers · 10.5% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-03-29 #134 Slade Cecconi · 10.4% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-03-28 #192 Joey Cantillo · 8.8% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-03-27 #78 Gavin Williams · 10.7% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-03-26 #98 Tanner Bibee · 10.2% ⚪ D · — · · ·
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