2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CIN LHB
JJ Bleday

JJ Bleday

LHB
CIN · 44 appearances tracked
9
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
20.5%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
25.8%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
91.0
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.302
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#1
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 3 games · 9 HRs in 44 games
Due (1×)
2.3×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
7
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
3
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
44
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
37
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
8
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
89%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#30.6
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
8 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-05-14 #5 Foster Griffin Great American Ball Park · · · 100.6 mph 366.0 ft
2026-05-25 #37 Nolan McLean Citi Field · · · 105.6 mph 409.0 ft
2026-05-29 #15 Grant Holmes Great American Ball Park · · · 108.6 mph 393 ft
2026-05-30 #15 Martín Pérez Great American Ball Park · · · 96.8 mph 363 ft
2026-06-01 #2 Luinder Avila Great American Ball Park · · · 98.3 mph 380 ft
2026-06-10 #17 Michael King Petco Park · · · 108.7 mph 391 ft
2026-06-14 #11 Zac Gallen Great American Ball Park L/R ⚠️
2026-06-15 #12 David Peterson Great American Ball Park L/R 98.1 mph 365 ft
All Appearances
44 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-23 #4 Brandon Sproat L/R * 35.0% 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-22 #7 Brandon Woodruff L/R * 32.5% 🟢 A ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-21 #8 Elmer Rodríguez L/R * 26.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-20 #17 Will Warren L/R * 34.1% 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 #17 Cam Schlittler L/R * 27.1% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-17 #13 Nolan McLean L/R * 35.4% 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 #4 Kodai Senga L/R * 39.8% 🟢 A ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-15 #12 Tobias Myers L/R * 40.5% 🔥 A+ ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-14 #11 Zac Gallen L/R * 22.2% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-13 #14 Michael Soroka L/R * 33.3% 🟢 A 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #8 Eduardo Rodriguez L/L * 26.5% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-10 #17 Michael King · 26.8% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-09 #19 Lucas Giolito · 28.4% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-07 #19 Michael McGreevy · 30.5% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-06 #16 Matthew Liberatore · 33.3% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-05 #10 Kyle Leahy · 33.5% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-03 #1 Stephen Kolek · 37.6% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-02 #3 Noah Cameron · 40.1% 🔥 A+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-01 #2 Luinder Avila · 34.3% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-31 #5 Spencer Strider · 44.3% 🔥 A+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-30 #15 Martín Pérez · 21.6% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-29 #15 Grant Holmes · 21.2% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-27 #59 Huascar Brazobán · 23.8% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-26 #28 David Peterson · 27.6% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-25 #37 Nolan McLean · 22.1% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-23 #15 Andre Pallante · 23.7% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-23 #6 Kyle Leahy · 25.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-20 #5 Aaron Nola · 25.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-19 #7 Jesús Luzardo · 30.1% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-17 #26 Gavin Williams · 34.0% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-16 #14 Joey Cantillo · 26.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-15 #9 Tanner Bibee · 40.8% 🔥 A+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-14 #5 Foster Griffin · 40.0% 🔥 A+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-30 #65 Michael Lorenzen · 16.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #233 Keider Montero · 8.8% ⚪ D · — · · 💥
2026-04-11 #95 Kodai Senga · 11.1% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-04-09 #18 Ryan Weathers · 18.3% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-04-08 #43 Will Warren · 16.7% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-04-07 #45 Cam Schlittler · 15.8% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-04-05 #21 Lance McCullers Jr. · 17.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-01 #116 Chris Sale · 11.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-31 #170 José Suarez · 9.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-30 #57 Bryce Elder · 15.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-27 #34 Kevin Gausman · 14.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
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