2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSH RHB
Jacob Young

Jacob Young

RHB
WSH · 54 appearances tracked
5
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
9.3%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
16.5%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.9
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.132
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#43
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 3 games · 5 HRs in 54 games
Due (1×)
5.7×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
17
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
3
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
54
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
7
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#135.2
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
54 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #156 Aaron Nola R/R * 10.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #180 Jesús Luzardo R/L * 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #179 Tim Mayza R/L * 8.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #103 Ian Seymour R/L * 8.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 #103 Griffin Jax R/R * 11.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 #140 Michael Wacha R/R * 10.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #49 Mitch Spence R/R * 12.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #117 Emerson Hancock R/R * 10.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-12 #136 Bryce Miller R/R * 12.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 #128 Robbie Ray · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-09 #155 Adrian Houser · 9.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-08 #92 Logan Webb · 14.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-07 #86 Michael Soroka · 13.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-06 #91 Eduardo Rodriguez · 11.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-05 #45 Merrill Kelly · 15.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-03 #52 Max Meyer · 19.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-02 #46 Lake Bachar · 19.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-01 #57 Sandy Alcantara · 16.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-31 #49 Griffin Canning · 14.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-29 #43 Lucas Giolito · 24.1% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-27 #43 Gavin Williams · 22.7% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-26 #43 Joey Cantillo · 15.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-25 #53 Tanner Bibee · 16.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-05-24 #94 Martín Pérez · 14.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-21 #81 David Peterson · 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-20 #151 Zach Thornton · 13.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-18 #212 Christian Scott · 10.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-17 #239 Brandon Young · 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-16 #231 Chris Bassitt · 4.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-15 #231 Shane Baz · 9.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-14 #128 Chase Burns · 7.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-12 #114 Brady Singer · 12.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-10 #152 Sandy Alcantara · 6.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-09 #207 Janson Junk · 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-07 #114 Simeon Woods Richardson · 9.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #225 Bailey Ober · 7.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-05 #215 Taj Bradley · 8.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-02 #174 Kyle Harrison · 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-01 #121 Jacob Misiorowski · 9.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-30 #173 Freddy Peralta · 5.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-29 #256 David Peterson · 5.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-28 #207 Clay Holmes · 7.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-26 #229 Bryan Hudson · 5.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-25 #197 Noah Schultz · 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-24 #184 Bryan Hudson · 6.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-23 #54 JR Ritchie · 9.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-21 #107 Reynaldo López · 10.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-20 #104 Bryce Elder · 9.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-19 #118 Robbie Ray · 13.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-18 #161 Adrian Houser · 12.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-17 #185 Logan Webb · 10.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-16 #145 Braxton Ashcraft · 6.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-12 #105 Brandon Woodruff · 4.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-28 #241 Cade Horton · 4.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
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