2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIA LHB
Jakob Marsee

Jakob Marsee

LHB
MIA · 61 appearances tracked
4
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
6.6%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
6.1%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
87.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.098
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#60
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 16 games · 4 HRs in 61 games
Due (1×)
0.4×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
6
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
16
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
61
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
0
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#174.7
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
61 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #213 Jacob deGrom L/R * 7.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #190 Cal Quantrill L/R * 6.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #202 Tyler Alexander L/L * 6.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #214 Logan Webb L/R * 6.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #185 Trevor McDonald L/R * 9.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #198 Landen Roupp L/R * 6.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #171 Andrew Painter L/R * 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-16 #209 Jesús Luzardo L/L * 10.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #134 Zack Wheeler L/R * 8.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #230 Paul Skenes L/R * 5.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-13 #220 Bubba Chandler L/R * 6.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-12 #230 Braxton Ashcraft L/R * 6.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-11 #106 Merrill Kelly · 7.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-10 #198 Ryne Nelson · 6.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-09 #204 Zac Gallen · 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-07 #190 Griffin Jax · 8.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-05 #210 Drew Rasmussen · 8.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-02 #220 Richard Lovelady · 9.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-01 #137 Cade Cavalli · 6.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-31 #250 Nolan McLean · 7.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-30 #245 Christian Scott · 5.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-29 #206 Freddy Peralta · 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-27 #219 Kevin Gausman · 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-26 #205 Braydon Fisher · 5.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-25 #159 Trey Yesavage · 5.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-24 #165 Christian Scott · 5.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-23 #135 Freddy Peralta · 11.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #154 Tobias Myers · 12.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-21 #70 Spencer Strider · 11.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-20 #173 Chris Sale · 10.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-18 #132 JR Ritchie · 10.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-17 #192 Drew Rasmussen · 11.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-16 #167 Nick Martinez · 8.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-15 #192 Ian Seymour · 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-13 #98 Simeon Woods Richardson · 6.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-12 #135 Bailey Ober · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-10 #140 Cade Cavalli · 5.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-09 #121 Zack Littell · 9.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-08 #165 Foster Griffin · 5.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-07 #156 Cade Povich · 7.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #240 Brandon Young · 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-05 #135 Chris Bassitt · 6.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-04 #115 Aaron Nola · 7.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-03 #153 Jesús Luzardo · 5.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-02 #180 Andrew Painter · 5.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #196 Zack Wheeler · 7.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-29 #89 Tyler Glasnow · 7.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-28 #126 Shohei Ohtani · 7.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-27 #60 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 8.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #275 Landen Roupp · 4.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #264 Robbie Ray · 5.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-24 #244 Adrian Houser · 5.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-22 #154 Kyle Leahy · 7.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-21 #223 Dustin May · 5.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-20 #163 Michael McGreevy · 5.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-19 #216 Jacob Misiorowski · 6.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #221 Brandon Woodruff · 5.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-15 #119 Bryce Elder · 1.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-12 #74 Tarik Skubal · 7.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-10 #143 Keider Montero · 9.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-29 #127 Jose Quintana · 10.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
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