2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs
Jorge Mateo
Jorge Mateo
ATL RHB
Jorge Mateo

Jorge Mateo

RHB
ATL · 16 appearances tracked
2
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
12.5%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
17.4%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
90.4
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.162
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#18
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
16
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
6
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
1
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
50%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#75.9
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
1 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-05-31 #38 Nick Lodolo Great American Ball Park · · · 108.4 mph 425 ft
All Appearances
16 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-20 #128 Kyle Harrison R/L * 10.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 #141 Jacob Misiorowski R/R * 9.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 #41 Sean Manaea R/L * 20.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 #18 Anthony Kay · 21.9% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-10 #67 Davis Martin · 17.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-07 #38 Mason Montgomery · 21.5% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-02 #50 Kevin Gausman · 19.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-31 #38 Nick Lodolo · 15.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-30 #76 Brady Singer · 12.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-29 #99 Chris Paddack · 10.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-28 #78 Payton Tolle · 8.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-27 #132 Connelly Early · 10.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-17 #72 Brayan Bello · 12.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-30 #55 Framber Valdez · 15.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-26 #36 Aaron Nola · 20.9% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-29 #145 Seth Lugo · 9.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
Six home runs to freedom

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