2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MIN SHB
Josh Bell

Josh Bell

SHB
MIN · 57 appearances tracked
5
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
8.8%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
13.8%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
89.4
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.138
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#8
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 5 games · 5 HRs in 57 games
Due (1×)
0.8×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
4
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
5
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
57
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
3
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#135.0
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
57 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #151 Shohei Ohtani S/R * 9.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #109 Justin Wrobleski S/L * 10.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #63 Eric Lauer S/L * 14.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #58 Zac Gallen S/R * 15.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #127 Michael Soroka S/R * 14.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-18 #66 Jack Leiter S/R * 14.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #147 Kumar Rocker S/R * 13.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #98 MacKenzie Gore S/L * 7.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-14 #87 Michael McGreevy S/R * 11.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #133 Kyle Leahy S/R * 10.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-11 #75 Keider Montero S/R * 9.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 #155 Framber Valdez · 8.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-09 #202 Troy Melton · 6.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-07 #187 Noah Cameron · 5.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-06-06 #191 Luinder Avila · 7.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-05 #194 Michael Wacha · 7.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-03 #180 Erick Fedde · 6.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-02 #214 Davis Martin · 6.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-01 #116 David Sandlin · 7.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-31 #242 Braxton Ashcraft · 7.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-30 #232 Mitch Keller · 8.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-28 #54 Davis Martin · 10.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-27 #131 David Sandlin · 10.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-25 #72 Anthony Kay · 11.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-24 #201 Sonny Gray · 8.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-23 #151 Jovani Morán · 9.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-22 #162 Payton Tolle · 8.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-20 #98 Mike Burrows · 13.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-19 #110 Jason Alexander · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-18 #119 Tatsuya Imai · 8.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-16 #162 Logan Henderson · 5.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-14 #97 Braxton Garrett · 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-13 #141 Max Meyer · 6.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-12 #87 Eury Pérez · 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-10 #127 Gavin Williams · 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-09 #103 Tanner Bibee · 9.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-08 #128 Parker Messick · 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-07 #107 Jake Irvin · 7.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-06 #159 Miles Mikolas · 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-05 #218 Cade Cavalli · 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-02 #204 Dylan Cease · 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-01 #211 Patrick Corbin · 6.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-30 #168 Kevin Gausman · 7.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-29 #250 George Kirby · 5.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-28 #196 Logan Gilbert · 7.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-27 #102 Luis Castillo · 7.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #121 Griffin Jax · 11.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #139 Shane McClanahan · 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-23 #94 Christian Scott · 8.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-22 #130 Clay Holmes · 9.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-21 #137 Nolan McLean · 9.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-19 #155 Brady Singer · 12.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-18 #155 Andrew Abbott · 12.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-17 #104 Brandon Williamson · 13.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-10 #33 Patrick Corbin · 20.5% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-29 #8 Shane Baz · 19.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-28 #32 Kyle Bradish · 15.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
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