2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Josh Smith
Josh Smith
TEX LHB
Josh Smith

Josh Smith

LHB
TEX · 42 appearances tracked
0
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
0.0%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
2.0%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
87.8
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.051
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#52
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
42
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
0
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#194.1
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
42 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-18 #132 Joe Ryan L/R * 7.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 #261 Reid Detmers · 7.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-22 #238 Grayson Rodriguez · 6.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-19 #200 Sammy Peralta · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-18 #194 Jose Quintana · 6.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-15 #236 Spencer Arrighetti · 4.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-13 #237 Ryne Nelson · 7.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-12 #250 Zac Gallen · 4.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-11 #99 Michael Soroka · 5.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-10 #231 Jameson Taillon · 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-09 #257 Edward Cabrera · 6.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-08 #236 Ben Brown · 4.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-06 #154 Will Warren · 7.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-05 #171 Elmer Rodríguez · 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-03 #232 Tyler Holton · 5.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-02 #258 Keider Montero · 5.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #249 Jack Flaherty · 6.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-29 #189 Elmer Rodríguez · 5.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-28 #187 Cam Schlittler · 3.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-27 #133 Max Fried · 3.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #264 J.T. Ginn · 6.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #256 Jeffrey Springs · 5.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-24 #242 Luis Severino · 4.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-23 #136 Bubba Chandler · 4.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-22 #239 Braxton Ashcraft · 3.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-19 #250 Bryan Woo · 3.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #244 George Kirby · 5.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-17 #241 Logan Gilbert · 4.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-16 #68 Jacob Lopez · 10.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-14 #153 Jeffrey Springs · 0.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-11 #176 Emmet Sheehan · 6.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-10 #169 Tyler Glasnow · 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-08 #215 Bryan Woo · 4.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-07 #216 George Kirby · 4.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-06 #169 Logan Gilbert · 5.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-05 #206 Chase Burns · 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-04 #155 Rhett Lowder · 8.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-01 #213 Trevor Rogers · 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-31 #52 Zach Eflin · 15.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-30 #102 Chris Bassitt · 12.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-28 #105 Aaron Nola · 12.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-26 #138 Cristopher Sánchez · 8.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
Six home runs to freedom

Josh Smith's full profile is waiting

Upgrade to see today’s matchup, HR profile, rank trend, HR history, and every signal behind this batter profile.

42 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.3.16 · build 516

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.