2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYM LHB
Juan Soto

Juan Soto

LHB
NYM · 64 appearances tracked
13
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
20.3%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
24.2%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
92.7
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.238
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#1
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 3 games · 13 HRs in 64 games
Due (1×)
1.7×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
5
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
3
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
64
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
49
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
12
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
92%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#34.6
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
12 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-01 #33 Matthew Liberatore Busch Stadium · · · 107.6 mph 344.0 ft
2026-05-06 #26 Michael Lorenzen Coors Field · · · 104.3 mph 435.0 ft
2026-05-14 #37 Keider Montero Citi Field · · · 105.2 mph 412.0 ft
2026-05-19 #42 Foster Griffin Nationals Park · · · 110.2 mph 434.0 ft
2026-05-20 #22 Zack Littell Nationals Park · · · 109.0 mph 408.0 ft
2026-05-22 #15 Eury Pérez loanDepot Park · · · 107.7 mph 449.0 ft
2026-05-26 #7 Chase Burns Citi Field · · · 103.0 mph 384.0 ft
2026-05-27 #12 Andrew Abbott Citi Field · · · 96.4 mph 366.0 ft
2026-05-31 #24 John King Citi Field · · · 109.0 mph 433 ft
2026-06-11 #17 JoJo Romero Citi Field L/R ⚠️ 101.2 mph 398 ft
2026-06-12 #32 Spencer Strider Citi Field L/R 109.1 mph 382 ft
2026-06-18 #12 Aaron Nola Citizens Bank Park L/R ⚠️ 105.0 mph 389 ft
All Appearances
64 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #6 Shota Imanaga L/L * 27.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-06-23 #5 Edward Cabrera L/R * 34.4% 🟢 A 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-06-22 #10 Shota Imanaga L/L * 27.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-06-21 #7 Zack Wheeler L/R * 37.7% 🟢 A 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #18 Cristopher Sánchez L/L * 25.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #12 Aaron Nola L/R * 23.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-17 #11 Nick Lodolo L/L * 21.7% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #7 Brady Singer L/R * 26.5% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #18 Chase Burns L/R * 25.2% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #38 Bryce Elder L/R * 24.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #19 Martín Pérez L/L * 23.6% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-12 #32 Spencer Strider L/R * 18.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-11 #17 Hunter Dobbins L/R * 16.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-10 #35 Andre Pallante · 20.9% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-09 #27 Dustin May · 29.5% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-07 #12 Randy Vásquez · 27.8% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-06 #4 Griffin Canning · 40.3% 🔥 A+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-05 #15 Michael King · 28.6% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-03 #11 George Kirby · 28.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-02 #9 Logan Gilbert · 32.1% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-01 #6 Emerson Hancock · 32.0% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-31 #24 John King · 27.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-30 #13 Tyler Phillips · 26.6% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-29 #9 Max Meyer · 26.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-27 #12 Andrew Abbott · 27.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-26 #7 Chase Burns · 41.2% 🔥 A+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-23 #12 Max Meyer · 27.8% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-22 #15 Eury Pérez · 25.7% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-21 #14 Cade Cavalli · 25.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-20 #22 Zack Littell · 36.6% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-19 #42 Foster Griffin · 17.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-18 #34 Jake Irvin · 22.2% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-17 #21 Elmer Rodríguez · 25.2% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-15 #57 Cam Schlittler · 9.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-14 #37 Keider Montero · 10.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-13 #71 Framber Valdez · 12.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-12 #27 Jack Flaherty · 25.8% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-10 #134 Eduardo Rodriguez · 17.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-09 #100 Merrill Kelly · 30.0% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-08 #118 Ryne Nelson · 23.8% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-07 #6 Jose Quintana · 35.8% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-06 #26 Michael Lorenzen · 25.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-04 #7 Tomoyuki Sugano · 19.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-03 #73 Jack Kochanowicz · 14.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-02 #86 Reid Detmers · 19.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #46 Walbert Urena · 18.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-30 #30 Miles Mikolas · 18.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-26 #77 Jose Quintana · 8.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-24 #133 Michael Lorenzen · 7.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-23 #67 Joe Ryan · 6.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-14 #1 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 44.7% 🔥 A+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-11 #40 Jacob Lopez · 17.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-09 #15 Eduardo Rodriguez · 19.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-08 #41 Ryne Nelson · 17.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-07 #24 Zac Gallen · 20.8% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-05 #71 Logan Webb · 13.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-04 #58 Landen Roupp · 14.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-02 #6 Robbie Ray · 13.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-01 #33 Matthew Liberatore · 14.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-03-31 #8 Andre Pallante · 19.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-30 #125 Kyle Leahy · 11.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-29 #62 Carmen Mlodzinski · 14.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-28 #30 Mitch Keller · 16.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-26 #63 Paul Skenes · 12.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
Six home runs to freedom

Juan Soto's full profile is waiting

Upgrade to see today’s matchup, HR profile, rank trend, HR history, and every signal behind this batter profile.

64 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.3.16 · build 516

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.