2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Kyle Isbel

Kyle Isbel

KC · 55 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
5.5%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
16.1%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.0
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.130
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#33
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 18 games · 3 HRs in 55 games
Due (1×)
1.8×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
33
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
18
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
55
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
2
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#167.4
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
55 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-09 #213 Nathan Eovaldi · 8.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-06 #215 Joe Ryan · 7.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-05 #197 Zebby Matthews · 8.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-04 #148 Andrew Morris · 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-03 #178 Chase Burns · 11.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-01 #89 Lyon Richardson · 10.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-31 #240 Jack Leiter · 7.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-30 #225 Kumar Rocker · 8.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-29 #236 MacKenzie Gore · 6.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-26 #235 Cam Schlittler · 6.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-25 #213 Will Warren · 8.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-24 #259 Bryan Woo · 7.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-23 #272 George Kirby · 7.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-22 #225 Logan Gilbert · 9.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-20 #220 Connelly Early · 10.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-18 #215 Sonny Gray · 8.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-17 #219 Andre Pallante · 8.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-16 #180 Kyle Leahy · 10.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-15 #212 Dustin May · 8.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-14 #134 Anthony Kay · 8.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-13 #183 Noah Schultz · 10.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-12 #158 Erick Fedde · 8.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-09 #125 Burch Smith · 10.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-08 #106 Keider Montero · 10.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-07 #62 Slade Cecconi · 12.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #33 Joey Cantillo · 13.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-05 #112 Gavin Williams · 13.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-04 #54 Tanner Bibee · 16.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-03 #114 Luis Castillo · 11.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-02 #84 Emerson Hancock · 15.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-01 #145 Bryan Woo · 10.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-29 #93 Luis Severino · 12.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-25 #219 Walbert Urena · 11.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-22 #173 Chris Bassitt · 8.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-04-21 #184 Shane Baz · 7.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-20 #137 Kyle Bradish · 8.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-18 #118 Will Warren · 11.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-17 #134 Cam Schlittler · 9.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-16 #129 Keider Montero · 8.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-15 #94 Jack Flaherty · 3.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-14 #157 Framber Valdez · 0.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-11 #193 Erick Fedde · 5.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-10 #192 Davis Martin · 6.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-09 #69 Anthony Kay · 6.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-08 #168 Joey Cantillo · 6.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-07 #153 Gavin Williams · 7.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-06 #131 Tanner Bibee · 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-05 #231 Kyle Harrison · 6.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-04 #241 Brandon Sproat · 0.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-04 #200 Chad Patrick · 5.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-02 #48 Taj Bradley · 6.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-01 #228 Joe Ryan · 6.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-03-30 #212 Simeon Woods Richardson · 6.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-03-29 #161 Grant Holmes · 8.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-28 #239 Reynaldo López · 5.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
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