2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COL RHB
Kyle Karros

Kyle Karros

RHB
COL · 59 appearances tracked
4
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
6.8%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
9.4%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
89.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.082
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#35
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 13 games · 4 HRs in 59 games
Due (1×)
0.3×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
4
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
13
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
59
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
2
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#139.1
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
59 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #155 Ranger Suarez R/L * 7.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #133 Jake Bennett R/L * 7.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #99 Jared Jones R/R * 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 #65 Bubba Chandler R/R * 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-17 #167 Javier Assad R/R * 5.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 💥
2026-06-15 #97 Shota Imanaga R/L * 8.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-06-14 #96 Jeffrey Springs R/L * 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #91 ATH Bullpen Proxy R/ 9.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #131 Gage Jump R/L * 6.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-10 #64 Shota Imanaga · 9.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-09 #35 Colin Rea · 14.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-07 #72 Shane Drohan · 12.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-06 #128 Jacob Misiorowski · 11.5% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-03 #100 Walbert Ureña · 13.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-02 #89 Grayson Rodriguez · 10.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-01 #71 José Soriano · 12.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-31 #121 Robbie Ray · 11.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-30 #151 Adrian Houser · 10.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-29 #202 Logan Webb · 8.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-27 #216 Shohei Ohtani · 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-26 #171 Eric Lauer · 7.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-25 #168 Emmet Sheehan · 8.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-24 #260 Ryne Nelson · 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-22 #259 Michael Soroka · 6.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-21 #108 Eduardo Rodriguez · 5.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-20 #207 Jack Leiter · 8.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-18 #209 MacKenzie Gore · 8.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-17 #227 Michael Soroka · 8.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-16 #191 Eduardo Rodriguez · 7.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-15 #176 Merrill Kelly · 7.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-13 #253 Mitch Keller · 3.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-12 #245 Paul Skenes · 6.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-10 #99 Cristopher Sánchez · 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-09 #89 Aaron Nola · 10.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-08 #120 Jesús Luzardo · 8.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-07 #85 Christian Scott · 8.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #143 Freddy Peralta · 5.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-05 #238 Freddy Peralta · 5.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-03 #55 Spencer Strider · 6.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-02 #60 Chris Sale · 9.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #74 Grant Holmes · 8.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-30 #95 Andrew Abbott · 9.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-29 #58 Brandon Williamson · 9.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-28 #78 Chase Burns · 8.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #208 Nolan McLean · 8.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #176 Kodai Senga · 7.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #220 Kodai Senga · 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-24 #218 Freddy Peralta · 7.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-23 #42 Matt Waldron · 8.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-22 #87 Walker Buehler · 8.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-21 #83 Randy Vásquez · 7.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-20 #79 Justin Wrobleski · 6.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-19 #141 Roki Sasaki · 8.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-18 #143 Emmet Sheehan · 10.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-17 #147 Tyler Glasnow · 8.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-16 #95 Ryan Weiss · 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-10 #232 Walker Buehler · 3.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-29 #151 Max Meyer · 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-28 #235 Eury Pérez · 6.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
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