2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Kyle Manzardo
Kyle Manzardo
CLE LHB
Kyle Manzardo

Kyle Manzardo

LHB
CLE · 70 appearances tracked
8
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
11.4%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
16.6%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
89.3
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.140
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#6
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 8 games · 8 HRs in 70 games
Due (1×)
0.5×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
4
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
8
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
70
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
12
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#94.1
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
70 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #68 Erick Fedde L/R * 16.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #84 Sean Burke L/R * 18.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #55 Anthony Kay L/L * 19.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #79 Kai-Wei Teng L/R * 23.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #108 Spencer Arrighetti L/R * 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-19 #96 Tatsuya Imai L/R * 12.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #74 Shane Drohan L/L * 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-17 #62 Brandon Sproat L/R * 11.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 #64 Robert Gasser L/L * 21.0% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-14 #149 Casey Mize L/R * 12.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-12 #107 Jack Flaherty L/R * 18.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-09 #105 Gerrit Cole · 20.3% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-08 #81 Will Warren · 18.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-07 #93 Jacob deGrom · 22.2% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-06 #92 Jack Leiter · 19.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-05 #75 Kumar Rocker · 19.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-03 #157 Gerrit Cole · 13.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-06-02 #154 Cam Schlittler · 12.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-31 #101 Ranger Suarez · 18.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-30 #125 Sonny Gray · 14.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-29 #93 Tyler Samaniego · 14.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-27 #21 PJ Poulin · 19.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-26 #51 Cade Cavalli · 17.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-25 #22 PJ Poulin · 19.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-23 #70 Zack Wheeler · 17.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #71 Cristopher Sánchez · 14.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-19 #127 Keider Montero · 12.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-18 #129 Framber Valdez · 11.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-17 #120 Brady Singer · 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-16 #73 Chris Paddack · 8.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-12 #219 Walbert Ureña · 5.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-10 #195 Andrew Morris · 7.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-09 #181 Joe Ryan · 8.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-08 #192 Connor Prielipp · 5.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-07 #111 Seth Lugo · 6.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-06 #102 Cole Ragans · 10.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-05 #242 Stephen Kolek · 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-04 #117 Michael Wacha · 9.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-03 #173 Aaron Civale · 8.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-02 #151 Jacob Lopez · 8.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-01 #163 J.T. Ginn · 10.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-29 #229 Drew Rasmussen · 10.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-28 #169 Nick Martinez · 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-27 #74 Steven Matz · 5.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-25 #155 Kevin Gausman · 9.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-24 #128 Max Scherzer · 11.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-22 #73 Peter Lambert · 7.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-21 #36 Ryan Weiss · 11.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-20 #64 Spencer Arrighetti · 8.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-18 #97 Dean Kremer · 10.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-17 #95 Chris Bassitt · 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-16 #62 Shane Baz · 7.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-14 #69 Michael McGreevy · 9.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-13 #20 Matthew Liberatore · 13.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-12 #16 Chris Sale · 24.1% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-11 #62 Martín Pérez · 13.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-10 #58 Bryce Elder · 16.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-08 #56 Cole Ragans · 14.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-07 #60 Noah Cameron · 14.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-06 #85 Michael Wacha · 10.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-05 #45 Shota Imanaga · 15.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-05 #44 Edward Cabrera · 15.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-04 #40 Shota Imanaga · 15.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-01 #16 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 17.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-31 #65 Shohei Ohtani · 14.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-30 #6 Roki Sasaki · 19.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-29 #73 Emerson Hancock · 14.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-28 #77 Bryan Woo · 13.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-27 #36 George Kirby · 14.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-26 #23 Logan Gilbert · 15.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
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