2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIA LHB
Kyle Stowers

Kyle Stowers

LHB
MIA · 53 appearances tracked
5
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
9.4%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
16.4%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
90.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.172
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#2
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 7 games · 5 HRs in 53 games
Due (1×)
0.4×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
3
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
7
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
53
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
15
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#94.7
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
53 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #58 Jacob deGrom L/R * 23.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #63 Cal Quantrill L/R * 18.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #114 Tyler Alexander L/L * 16.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #119 Logan Webb L/R * 17.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-20 #78 Trevor McDonald L/R * 25.4% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #119 Landen Roupp L/R * 17.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #71 Andrew Painter L/R * 11.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-15 #57 Zack Wheeler L/R * 16.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #166 Paul Skenes L/R * 11.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 #111 Bubba Chandler L/R * 13.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-12 #145 Braxton Ashcraft L/R * 13.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 #29 Merrill Kelly L/R * 14.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-10 #85 Ryne Nelson · 9.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-06-09 #110 Zac Gallen · 9.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-07 #89 Griffin Jax · 11.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-06 #137 Shane McClanahan · 7.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-05 #97 Drew Rasmussen · 12.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-03 #98 Andrew Alvarez · 19.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-02 #107 Richard Lovelady · 15.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-01 #94 Cade Cavalli · 11.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-31 #175 Nolan McLean · 13.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-30 #159 Christian Scott · 9.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-29 #127 Freddy Peralta · 13.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-27 #107 Kevin Gausman · 11.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-26 #84 Braydon Fisher · 9.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-25 #125 Trey Yesavage · 9.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-24 #159 Christian Scott · 10.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-23 #119 Freddy Peralta · 18.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #106 Tobias Myers · 17.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-21 #53 Spencer Strider · 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-20 #150 Chris Sale · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-19 #116 Martín Pérez · 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-18 #107 JR Ritchie · 9.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-17 #191 Drew Rasmussen · 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-16 #223 Nick Martinez · 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-15 #223 Ian Seymour · 7.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-10 #178 Cade Cavalli · 6.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-24 #212 Adrian Houser · 7.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-19 #176 Jacob Misiorowski · 11.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-14 #30 Reynaldo López · 21.2% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-13 #14 Grant Holmes · 16.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-11 #37 Casey Mize · 17.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-09 #10 Rhett Lowder · 23.3% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-08 #33 Brady Singer · 18.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-07 #40 Andrew Abbott · 16.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-06 #19 Brandon Williamson · 22.2% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-05 #28 Max Fried · 16.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-04 #5 Ryan Weathers · 21.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-01 #17 Shane Smith · 17.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-31 #31 Erick Fedde · 16.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-30 #10 Davis Martin · 18.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-28 #7 Michael Lorenzen · 19.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-27 #2 Kyle Freeland · 18.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
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