2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LAD LHB
Kyle Tucker

Kyle Tucker

LHB
LAD · 75 appearances tracked
4
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
5.3%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
10.6%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.8
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.149
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#6
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 15 games · 4 HRs in 75 games
Due (1×)
0.4×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
6
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
15
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
75
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
11
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
1
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
25%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#114.9
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
1 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-05-04 #33 Steven Okert Minute Maid Park · · · 106.8 mph 376.0 ft
All Appearances
75 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-22 #144 Zebby Matthews L/R * 7.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-21 #128 Brandon Young L/R * 9.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #138 Trevor Rogers L/L * 8.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #98 Trey Gibson L/R * 11.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #143 Shane McClanahan L/L * 9.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-16 #132 Drew Rasmussen L/R * 15.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-15 #100 Nick Martinez L/R * 8.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-14 #198 Bryan Hudson L/L * 5.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #185 Sean Burke L/R * 6.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #158 Anthony Kay L/L * 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-11 #108 Mitch Keller · 6.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-10 #150 Jared Jones · 7.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-09 #206 Paul Skenes · 6.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-07 #123 José Soriano · 11.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-06 #123 Jack Kochanowicz · 10.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-05 #130 LAA Bullpen Proxy · 10.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-04 #105 Ryne Nelson · 6.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-03 #190 Zac Gallen · 6.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-06-02 #224 Michael Soroka · 6.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-01 #135 Eduardo Rodriguez · 5.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-31 #157 Andrew Painter · 9.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-30 #196 Jesús Luzardo · 14.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-29 #168 Zack Wheeler · 9.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-27 #93 Tomoyuki Sugano · 10.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-26 #115 Kyle Freeland · 9.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-25 #104 Tanner Gordon · 12.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-24 #195 Brandon Sproat · 7.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-23 #228 Robert Gasser · 6.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-22 #206 Logan Henderson · 7.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-20 #200 Randy Vásquez · 6.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-19 #194 Griffin Canning · 7.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-18 #195 Michael King · 7.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-17 #169 Grayson Rodriguez · 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-16 #133 José Soriano · 11.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-15 #135 Jack Kochanowicz · 6.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-14 #89 Landen Roupp · 9.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-13 #101 Robbie Ray · 7.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-12 #70 Adrian Houser · 10.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-11 #40 Trevor McDonald · 7.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-10 #58 Bryce Elder · 8.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-09 #33 Spencer Strider · 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-08 #29 Chris Sale · 5.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-06 #22 Lance McCullers Jr. · 10.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-05 #208 Peter Lambert · 7.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-04 #33 Steven Okert · 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-03 #85 Dustin May · 8.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-02 #81 Michael McGreevy · 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #90 Matthew Liberatore · 13.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-29 #19 Sandy Alcantara · 9.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-28 #42 Janson Junk · 10.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-27 #6 Chris Paddack · 11.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-26 #67 Shota Imanaga · 12.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-25 #79 Colin Rea · 11.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-24 #62 Jameson Taillon · 14.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-23 #119 Logan Webb · 6.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-22 #213 Tyler Mahle · 10.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-21 #220 Landen Roupp · 6.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-20 #62 Jose Quintana · 9.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-19 #99 Michael Lorenzen · 12.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #108 Ryan Feltner · 9.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-17 #91 Tomoyuki Sugano · 10.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-14 #42 Aaron Nola · 15.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-13 #80 Cristopher Sánchez · 1.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-11 #158 Braxton Ashcraft · 7.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-10 #53 Kumar Rocker · 17.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-08 #107 Joe Boyle · 10.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-07 #93 Drew Rasmussen · 11.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-06 #52 Shane McClanahan · 13.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-05 #117 Parker Messick · 11.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-05 #73 Slade Cecconi · 13.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-04 #67 Slade Cecconi · 13.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-01 #108 Yusei Kikuchi · 12.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-31 #74 José Soriano · 13.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-30 #36 Ryan Johnson · 16.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-26 #22 Cade Cavalli · 15.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
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