2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYM RHB
Marcus Semien

Marcus Semien

RHB
NYM · 78 appearances tracked
8
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
10.3%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
7.8%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
86.2
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.107
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#32
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 5 games · 8 HRs in 78 games
Due (1×)
2.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
10
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
5
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
78
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
4
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#148.1
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
78 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #171 Javier Assad R/R * 6.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-06-24 #138 Shota Imanaga R/R * 7.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-06-23 #110 Edward Cabrera R/R * 10.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-06-22 #132 Shota Imanaga R/L * 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-06-21 #109 Zack Wheeler R/R * 11.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #106 Cristopher Sánchez R/L * 13.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #40 Aaron Nola R/R * 17.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #49 Nick Lodolo R/L * 17.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #53 Brady Singer R/R * 20.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #54 Chase Burns R/R * 14.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #111 Bryce Elder R/R * 14.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-13 #99 Martín Pérez R/L * 12.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-12 #72 Spencer Strider R/R * 12.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-11 #32 Hunter Dobbins · 13.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-10 #74 Andre Pallante · 13.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-09 #89 Dustin May · 12.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-07 #66 Randy Vásquez · 13.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-06-06 #97 Griffin Canning · 9.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-06-05 #118 Michael King · 12.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-03 #148 George Kirby · 11.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-02 #129 Logan Gilbert · 12.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-01 #101 Emerson Hancock · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-31 #209 John King · 6.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-30 #206 Tyler Phillips · 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-29 #190 Max Meyer · 7.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-27 #159 Andrew Abbott · 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-26 #161 Chase Burns · 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-25 #101 Nick Lodolo · 8.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-24 #217 Tyler Phillips · 7.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-23 #195 Max Meyer · 8.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #127 Eury Pérez · 10.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-21 #94 Cade Cavalli · 5.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-20 #141 Zack Littell · 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-19 #179 Foster Griffin · 5.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-18 #155 Jake Irvin · 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-17 #103 Elmer Rodríguez · 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-15 #211 Cam Schlittler · 7.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-14 #151 Keider Montero · 4.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-13 #246 Framber Valdez · 4.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-12 #220 Jack Flaherty · 6.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-10 #248 Eduardo Rodriguez · 4.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-09 #254 Merrill Kelly · 5.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-08 #237 Ryne Nelson · 5.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-07 #66 Jose Quintana · 5.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-06 #139 Michael Lorenzen · 6.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-05 #199 Michael Lorenzen · 6.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-04 #89 Tomoyuki Sugano · 7.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-03 #204 Jack Kochanowicz · 5.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-02 #187 Reid Detmers · 4.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #181 Walbert Urena · 5.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-30 #109 Miles Mikolas · 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-29 #252 Cade Cavalli · 3.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-28 #188 Zack Littell · 5.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-26 #180 Jose Quintana · 4.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #236 Jose Quintana · 5.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-24 #222 Michael Lorenzen · 5.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-23 #129 Joe Ryan · 5.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-22 #252 Connor Prielipp · 4.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-21 #224 Simeon Woods Richardson · 6.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-19 #156 Javier Assad · 6.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-18 #164 Jameson Taillon · 8.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-17 #192 Edward Cabrera · 5.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-14 #148 Jeffrey Springs · 0.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-12 #86 Aaron Civale · 6.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-11 #155 Emmet Sheehan · 7.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-10 #156 J.T. Ginn · 8.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-08 #202 Bryan Woo · 5.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-07 #201 George Kirby · 5.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-06 #158 Logan Gilbert · 5.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-05 #187 Chase Burns · 8.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-04 #143 Rhett Lowder · 9.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-01 #198 Trevor Rogers · 8.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-31 #34 Zach Eflin · 16.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-30 #83 Chris Bassitt · 13.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-29 #152 Carmen Mlodzinski · 8.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-28 #176 Mitch Keller · 9.3% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-03-28 #72 Aaron Nola · 13.3% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-03-26 #128 Cristopher Sánchez · 8.8% ⚪ D · — · · ·
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