2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STL RHB
Masyn Winn

Masyn Winn

RHB
STL · 72 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
4.2%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
6.1%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
86.7
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.099
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#61
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 38 games · 3 HRs in 72 games
Due (1×)
0.1×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
2
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
38
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
72
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
0
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#182.5
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
72 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-23 #216 Eduardo Rodriguez R/L * 5.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #188 Merrill Kelly R/R * 6.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #225 Stephen Kolek R/R * 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-19 #192 Seth Lugo R/R * 6.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #126 Noah Cameron R/L * 5.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #233 Bradgley Rodriguez R/R * 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #219 Michael King R/R * 7.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #139 Wandy Peralta R/L * 5.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #197 Connor Prielipp R/L * 6.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-12 #207 Joe Ryan R/R * 5.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-11 #121 Christian Scott · 6.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-10 #191 Austin Warren · 7.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-09 #193 Freddy Peralta · 6.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-06 #189 Nick Lodolo · 6.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-05 #195 Brady Singer · 8.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-03 #227 MacKenzie Gore · 5.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-02 #209 Nathan Eovaldi · 7.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-01 #138 Jacob deGrom · 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-31 #237 Jordan Wicks · 5.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-30 #241 Ben Brown · 6.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-29 #229 Shota Imanaga · 6.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-27 #221 Chad Patrick · 6.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-26 #237 Kyle Harrison · 5.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-25 #217 Jacob Misiorowski · 6.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-24 #161 Brady Singer · 9.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-23 #218 Chris Paddack · 8.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-23 #200 Chase Petty · 8.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-22 #168 Chris Paddack · 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-21 #106 Braxton Ashcraft · 5.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-20 #241 Carmen Mlodzinski · 4.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-17 #220 Stephen Kolek · 7.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-16 #202 Noah Cameron · 4.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-15 #220 Michael Wacha · 5.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-14 #104 Jacob Lopez · 7.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-13 #120 J.T. Ginn · 7.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-12 #151 Jeffrey Springs · 7.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-10 #226 Walker Buehler · 7.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-09 #229 Randy Vásquez · 8.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-08 #152 Griffin Canning · 6.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-07 #153 Michael King · 7.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-06 #215 Brandon Sproat · 7.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-05 #161 Brandon Sproat · 8.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-04 #135 Chad Patrick · 8.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-03 #131 Justin Wrobleski · 4.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-02 #106 Roki Sasaki · 10.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-01 #167 Emmet Sheehan · 5.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-30 #172 Paul Skenes · 5.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-29 #242 Bubba Chandler · 5.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-27 #137 Mason Montgomery · 5.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #241 Emerson Hancock · 8.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #238 Bryan Woo · 4.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-24 #204 George Kirby · 7.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-21 #114 Chris Paddack · 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-20 #127 Max Meyer · 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-19 #96 Mike Burrows · 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #154 Lance McCullers Jr. · 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-17 #142 Peter Lambert · 7.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-15 #89 Slade Cecconi · 4.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-13 #61 Gavin Williams · 4.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-11 #222 Ranger Suarez · 3.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-10 #250 Connelly Early · 0.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-08 #214 Miles Mikolas · 4.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-07 #195 Cade Cavalli · 5.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-06 #168 Zack Littell · 5.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-05 #180 Keider Montero · 8.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-04 #173 Jack Flaherty · 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-01 #221 Freddy Peralta · 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-31 #202 Kodai Senga · 7.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-30 #204 Clay Holmes · 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-29 #167 Steven Matz · 7.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-28 #218 Joe Boyle · 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-26 #134 Drew Rasmussen · 8.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
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