2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CIN RHB
Matt McLain

Matt McLain

RHB
CIN · 68 appearances tracked
6
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
8.8%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
10.0%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.0
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.123
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#23
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 7 games · 6 HRs in 68 games
Due (1×)
1.7×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
12
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
7
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
68
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
8
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#119.7
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
68 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #127 Shane Drohan R/L * 11.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-22 #98 Brandon Woodruff R/R * 9.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-20 #65 Will Warren R/R * 16.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-19 #55 Cam Schlittler R/R * 18.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-17 #45 Nolan McLean R/R * 22.0% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-16 #23 Kodai Senga R/R * 21.0% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-15 #26 Tobias Myers R/R * 20.7% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-14 #28 Zac Gallen R/R * 21.0% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #55 Michael Soroka R/R * 17.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #53 Eduardo Rodriguez R/L * 22.7% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-10 #72 Michael King · 17.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-09 #69 Lucas Giolito · 18.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-07 #166 Michael McGreevy · 8.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-06-06 #187 Matthew Liberatore · 7.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-06-03 #133 Stephen Kolek · 10.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-02 #136 Noah Cameron · 9.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-01 #85 Luinder Avila · 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-30 #164 Martín Pérez · 12.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-26 #126 David Peterson · 10.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-25 #100 Nolan McLean · 13.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-23 #79 Kyle Leahy · 10.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #124 Kyle Leahy · 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-20 #94 Aaron Nola · 16.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-19 #93 Jesús Luzardo · 19.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-18 #91 Andrew Painter · 18.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-17 #181 Gavin Williams · 14.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-16 #126 Joey Cantillo · 17.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-15 #162 Tanner Bibee · 7.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-14 #96 Foster Griffin · 12.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-13 #175 Jake Irvin · 9.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-12 #133 Miles Mikolas · 10.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-10 #75 Kai-Wei Teng · 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-09 #83 Spencer Arrighetti · 9.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-08 #40 Mike Burrows · 14.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-07 #77 Shota Imanaga · 14.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-06 #132 Colin Rea · 8.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-05 #88 Jameson Taillon · 12.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-04 #91 Edward Cabrera · 8.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-03 #237 Braxton Ashcraft · 5.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-02 #251 Carmen Mlodzinski · 5.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-01 #248 Mitch Keller · 4.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-30 #97 Michael Lorenzen · 10.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-29 #39 Tomoyuki Sugano · 14.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #84 Keider Montero · 7.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #89 Jack Flaherty · 11.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-24 #97 Framber Valdez · 10.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-22 #195 Nick Martinez · 5.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-21 #177 Steven Matz · 5.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-19 #260 Bailey Ober · 4.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-18 #259 Taj Bradley · 4.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-17 #244 Joe Ryan · 4.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-16 #84 Landen Roupp · 6.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-14 #76 Robbie Ray · 8.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-12 #78 José Soriano · 7.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-11 #70 George Klassen · 12.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-10 #138 Jack Kochanowicz · 9.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-09 #46 Max Meyer · 9.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-08 #179 Eury Pérez · 6.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-07 #163 Sandy Alcantara · 7.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-06 #173 Janson Junk · 5.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-05 #193 Jack Leiter · 8.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-04 #108 Kumar Rocker · 11.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-01 #184 Paul Skenes · 9.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-31 #157 Bubba Chandler · 9.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-30 #187 Braxton Ashcraft · 8.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-29 #186 Connelly Early · 1.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-28 #60 Sonny Gray · 14.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-26 #27 Garrett Crochet · 14.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
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