2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Mauricio Dubón
Mauricio Dubón
ATL RHB
Mauricio Dubón

Mauricio Dubón

RHB
ATL · 61 appearances tracked
7
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
11.5%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
8.2%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
87.1
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.143
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#33
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 6 games · 7 HRs in 61 games
Due (1×)
0.2×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
1
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
6
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
61
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
4
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#126.9
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
61 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #187 SD Bullpen Proxy R/ 7.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #175 SD Bullpen Proxy R/ 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-22 #148 Michael King R/R * 8.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #140 Robert Gasser R/L * 8.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-20 #178 Kyle Harrison R/L * 7.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-19 #176 Jacob Misiorowski R/R * 9.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-18 #70 Landen Roupp R/R * 13.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #124 SF Bullpen Proxy R/ 11.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-17 #94 Adrian Houser R/ 14.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-16 #87 Adrian Houser R/R * 14.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #93 Freddy Peralta R/R * 12.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 #84 Sean Manaea R/L * 12.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-12 #98 Nolan McLean R/R * 16.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 #33 Anthony Kay · 13.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-10 #101 Davis Martin · 13.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-09 #113 Brandon Eisert · 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-07 #106 Mason Montgomery · 13.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-06 #99 Braxton Ashcraft · 12.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-05 #161 Mitch Keller · 7.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-04 #128 Mason Fluharty · 6.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-03 #215 Patrick Corbin · 6.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-31 #153 Nick Lodolo · 9.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-30 #176 Brady Singer · 10.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-28 #99 Payton Tolle · 4.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-27 #169 Connelly Early · 5.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-26 #217 Ranger Suarez · 5.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-24 #141 Foster Griffin · 7.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-23 #174 Jake Irvin · 9.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-22 #91 Miles Mikolas · 12.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-21 #59 Sandy Alcantara · 7.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-20 #149 Janson Junk · 8.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-19 #174 Braxton Garrett · 4.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-18 #193 Max Meyer · 10.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-16 #176 Payton Tolle · 5.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-15 #164 Connelly Early · 5.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-14 #118 Ben Brown · 8.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-13 #165 Shota Imanaga · 5.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-12 #169 Colin Rea · 8.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-10 #70 Justin Wrobleski · 4.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-09 #38 Blake Snell · 10.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-08 #43 Emmet Sheehan · 7.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #141 Bryan Woo · 8.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-05 #181 George Kirby · 9.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-04 #143 Logan Gilbert · 8.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-03 #81 Kyle Freeland · 6.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-01 #108 Jose Quintana · 6.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-30 #175 Framber Valdez · 6.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-29 #149 Tarik Skubal · 5.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-28 #113 Casey Mize · 10.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-26 #175 Aaron Nola · 10.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-25 #136 Zack Wheeler · 9.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-24 #148 Andrew Painter · 8.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-23 #84 Cade Cavalli · 6.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-22 #97 Zack Littell · 12.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-21 #102 Foster Griffin · 9.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-20 #81 Jake Irvin · 10.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-19 #85 Andrew Painter · 9.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-18 #79 Cristopher Sánchez · 12.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-17 #46 Taijuan Walker · 16.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-15 #71 Chris Paddack · 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-10 #199 Slade Cecconi · 6.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
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