2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Michael Harris II

Michael Harris II

ATL · 58 appearances tracked
11
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
19.0%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
23.8%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
94.0
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.192
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#2
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 4 games · 11 HRs in 58 games
Due (1×)
1.5×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
6
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
4
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
58
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
41
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
8
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
73%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#45.3
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
8 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-03-27 #47 Cole Ragans Truist Park · · · 102.9 mph 372.0 ft
2026-04-17 #36 Taijuan Walker Citizens Bank Park · · · 110.7 mph 367.0 ft
2026-04-19 #40 Andrew Painter Citizens Bank Park · · · 101.9 mph 376.0 ft
2026-04-22 #12 Zack Littell Nationals Park · · · 104.2 mph 394.0 ft
2026-05-01 #9 Jose Quintana Coors Field · · · 107.3 mph 385.0 ft
2026-05-15 #38 Connelly Early Truist Park · · · 104.6 mph 419.0 ft
2026-05-21 #19 Sandy Alcantara loanDepot Park · · · 103.4 mph 404.0 ft
2026-05-28 #19 Payton Tolle Fenway Park · · · 104.1 mph 396.0 ft
All Appearances
58 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-04 #46 Mason Fluharty · 19.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-03 #41 Patrick Corbin · 23.1% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-02 #41 Kevin Gausman · 22.8% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-31 #6 Nick Lodolo · 40.3% 🔥 A+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-30 #7 Brady Singer · 42.9% 🔥 A+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-29 #19 Chris Paddack · 27.9% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-28 #19 Payton Tolle · 26.9% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-27 #37 Connelly Early · 26.6% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-26 #68 Ranger Suarez · 21.3% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-24 #16 Foster Griffin · 31.2% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-23 #17 Jake Irvin · 28.2% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-22 #18 Miles Mikolas · 36.3% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-21 #19 Sandy Alcantara · 13.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-20 #37 Janson Junk · 19.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-19 #54 Braxton Garrett · 15.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-18 #61 Max Meyer · 11.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-17 #24 Brayan Bello · 22.0% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-16 #41 Payton Tolle · 15.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-15 #38 Connelly Early · 15.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-14 #34 Ben Brown · 11.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-13 #48 Shota Imanaga · 13.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-12 #63 Colin Rea · 16.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-10 #15 Justin Wrobleski · 10.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-09 #6 Blake Snell · 19.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-08 #9 Emmet Sheehan · 26.2% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-06 #35 Bryan Woo · 29.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-05 #21 George Kirby · 25.8% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-04 #62 Logan Gilbert · 28.4% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-03 #6 Kyle Freeland · 25.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #9 Jose Quintana · 26.5% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-29 #21 Tarik Skubal · 21.1% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-28 #8 Casey Mize · 24.5% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #7 Aaron Nola · 34.5% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #4 Zack Wheeler · 39.1% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-23 #2 Cade Cavalli · 26.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-22 #12 Zack Littell · 31.0% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-21 #21 Foster Griffin · 23.2% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-20 #22 Jake Irvin · 25.8% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-19 #40 Andrew Painter · 16.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-18 #33 Cristopher Sánchez · 19.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-17 #36 Taijuan Walker · 12.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-04-15 #35 Chris Paddack · 13.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-13 #19 Eury Pérez · 13.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-12 #35 Tanner Bibee · 15.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-11 #104 Parker Messick · 9.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-10 #123 Slade Cecconi · 10.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-04-08 #105 Reid Detmers · 10.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-07 #117 Yusei Kikuchi · 9.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-06 #79 José Soriano · 11.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-05 #112 Brandon Pfaadt · 11.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-04 #112 Michael Soroka · 11.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-02 #30 Ryne Nelson · 9.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-01 #155 Luis Severino · 10.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-31 #97 Aaron Civale · 12.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-30 #92 Jacob Lopez · 13.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-29 #68 Seth Lugo · 14.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-28 #174 Michael Wacha · 9.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-27 #47 Cole Ragans · 12.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
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