2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PIT RHB
Nick Gonzales

Nick Gonzales

RHB
PIT · 71 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
4.2%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
2.8%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
86.6
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.066
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#102
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 16 games · 3 HRs in 71 games
Due (1×)
0.1×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
2
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
16
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
71
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
0
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#208.8
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
71 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #243 Bryan Woo R/R * 5.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-23 #226 George Kirby R/R * 5.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 #180 Michael Lorenzen R/R * 7.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-20 #174 Tomoyuki Sugano R/R * 7.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #174 Kyle Freeland R/L * 8.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #133 Aaron Civale R/R * 8.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #165 Jack Perkins R/R * 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #103 J.T. Ginn R/R * 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #202 Max Meyer R/R * 6.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 #191 Lake Bachar R/R * 6.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-12 #202 Sandy Alcantara R/R * 6.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-11 #111 Justin Wrobleski · 4.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-10 #205 Shohei Ohtani · 6.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-09 #165 Eric Lauer · 5.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-07 #188 Bryce Elder · 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-06 #159 Spencer Strider · 6.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-05 #162 Martín Pérez · 6.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-04 #104 Kai-Wei Teng · 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-03 #194 Spencer Arrighetti · 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-06-02 #172 Mike Burrows · 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-31 #268 Zebby Matthews · 4.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-30 #260 Bailey Ober · 5.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-29 #252 Taj Bradley · 4.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-28 #105 Colin Rea · 5.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-27 #255 Jameson Taillon · 5.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-26 #249 Jordan Wicks · 4.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-25 #232 Ben Brown · 4.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-24 #281 Dylan Cease · 5.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-23 #278 Patrick Corbin · 6.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-22 #255 Kevin Gausman · 7.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-20 #259 Michael McGreevy · 6.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-19 #248 Matthew Liberatore · 4.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-17 #268 Zack Wheeler · 3.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-16 #257 Cristopher Sánchez · 4.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-13 #249 Jose Quintana · 4.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-12 #248 Michael Lorenzen · 4.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-10 #239 Tyler Mahle · 9.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-09 #260 Landen Roupp · 4.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-07 #180 Zac Gallen · 6.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #270 Michael Soroka · 5.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-05 #223 Eduardo Rodriguez · 5.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-03 #242 Chase Burns · 4.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-02 #261 Rhett Lowder · 3.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-01 #250 Brady Singer · 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-30 #179 Hunter Dobbins · 4.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-29 #261 Andre Pallante · 5.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-28 #221 Kyle Leahy · 5.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-27 #143 Dustin May · 5.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-26 #197 Kyle Harrison · 7.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-25 #250 Jacob Misiorowski · 7.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-24 #223 Brandon Woodruff · 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-23 #160 Jacob deGrom · 5.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-22 #248 Jack Leiter · 5.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-19 #258 Shane McClanahan · 4.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #257 Drew Rasmussen · 4.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-17 #229 Nick Martinez · 5.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-16 #146 Foster Griffin · 4.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-12 #102 Jameson Taillon · 4.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-11 #204 Edward Cabrera · 5.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-10 #219 Shota Imanaga · 5.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-08 #233 Michael King · 3.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-07 #236 Nick Pivetta · 3.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-06 #200 Germán Márquez · 3.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-05 #236 Chris Bassitt · 5.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-04 #195 Shane Baz · 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-01 #218 Andrew Abbott · 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-31 #156 Brandon Williamson · 10.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-30 #181 Chase Burns · 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-29 #156 Nolan McLean · 8.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-28 #231 David Peterson · 6.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-26 #147 Freddy Peralta · 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
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