2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Oneil Cruz

Oneil Cruz

PIT · 56 appearances tracked
13
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
23.2%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
32.3%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
96.3
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.225
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#5
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 3 games · 13 HRs in 56 games
Due (1×)
1.3×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
4
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
3
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
56
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
33
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
7
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
54%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#58.6
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
7 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-03-31 #11 Brandon Williamson Great American Ball Park · · · 108.1 mph 403.0 ft
2026-04-01 #45 Andrew Abbott Great American Ball Park · · · 107.4 mph 407.0 ft
2026-04-12 #27 Jameson Taillon Wrigley Field · · · 111.0 mph 422.0 ft
2026-04-22 #30 Jack Leiter Globe Life Field · · · 116.9 mph 432.0 ft
2026-04-23 #16 Jacob deGrom Globe Life Field · · · 107.5 mph 415.0 ft
2026-04-28 #41 Kyle Leahy PNC Park · · · 106.6 mph 414.0 ft
2026-06-02 #13 Mike Burrows Minute Maid Park · · · 111.2 mph 419 ft
All Appearances
56 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-06 #11 Spencer Strider · 31.2% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-05 #19 Martín Pérez · 32.3% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-04 #5 Kai-Wei Teng · 34.6% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-03 #20 Spencer Arrighetti · 22.3% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-02 #13 Mike Burrows · 34.3% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-31 #63 Zebby Matthews · 22.6% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-30 #73 Bailey Ober · 20.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-29 #68 Taj Bradley · 11.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-28 #20 Colin Rea · 11.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-27 #35 Jameson Taillon · 14.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-26 #95 Jordan Wicks · 11.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-25 #96 Ben Brown · 9.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-24 #98 Dylan Cease · 14.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-22 #37 Kevin Gausman · 15.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-21 #18 Dustin May · 14.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-20 #39 Michael McGreevy · 16.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-19 #20 Matthew Liberatore · 27.3% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-17 #62 Zack Wheeler · 12.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-16 #48 Cristopher Sánchez · 15.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-15 #41 Aaron Nola · 14.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-14 #30 Chase Dollander · 13.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-13 #40 Jose Quintana · 25.3% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-12 #71 Michael Lorenzen · 23.4% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-10 #133 Tyler Mahle · 13.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-09 #172 Landen Roupp · 16.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-07 #121 Zac Gallen · 16.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #190 Michael Soroka · 26.8% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-05 #6 Eduardo Rodriguez · 39.7% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-03 #137 Chase Burns · 36.2% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-02 #169 Rhett Lowder · 20.2% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-01 #137 Brady Singer · 28.1% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-30 #36 Hunter Dobbins · 22.6% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-29 #147 Andre Pallante · 26.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-28 #41 Kyle Leahy · 27.6% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-27 #24 Dustin May · 26.4% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #17 Jacob Misiorowski · 40.4% 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-24 #12 Brandon Woodruff · 35.0% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-23 #16 Jacob deGrom · 29.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-22 #30 Jack Leiter · 19.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-19 #54 Shane McClanahan · 21.3% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #59 Drew Rasmussen · 23.1% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-17 #56 Nick Martinez · 15.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-16 #37 Foster Griffin · 15.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-12 #27 Jameson Taillon · 18.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-11 #27 Edward Cabrera · 22.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-10 #28 Shota Imanaga · 21.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-08 #54 Michael King · 15.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-07 #77 Nick Pivetta · 13.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-06 #44 Germán Márquez · 14.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-05 #125 Chris Bassitt · 11.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-04 #96 Shane Baz · 12.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-01 #45 Andrew Abbott · 14.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-03-31 #11 Brandon Williamson · 18.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-03-30 #32 Chase Burns · 16.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-29 #49 Nolan McLean · 15.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-26 #48 Freddy Peralta · 13.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
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