2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Oswald Peraza
Oswald Peraza
LAA RHB
Oswald Peraza

Oswald Peraza

RHB
LAA · 57 appearances tracked
5
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
8.8%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
28.0%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
87.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.194
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#16
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 10 games · 5 HRs in 57 games
Due (1×)
2.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
20
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
10
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
57
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
14
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
1
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
20%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#94.0
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
1 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-12 #37 Andrew Abbott Great American Ball Park · · · 102.6 mph 383.0 ft
All Appearances
57 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #106 Trey Gibson R/R * 10.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 #131 Shane Baz R/R * 9.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-20 #125 J.T. Ginn R/R * 10.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #81 Jeffrey Springs R/L * 15.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-18 #90 Gage Jump R/L * 10.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #160 Eduardo Rodriguez R/L * 11.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #116 Merrill Kelly R/R * 9.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #75 Ryne Nelson R/R * 9.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #102 Griffin Jax R/R * 10.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-12 #102 Shane McClanahan R/L * 11.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 #84 Peter Lambert · 10.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-09 #73 Kai-Wei Teng · 10.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-08 #46 Spencer Arrighetti · 11.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-07 #44 Emmet Sheehan · 13.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-06 #75 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 15.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-05 #29 Roki Sasaki · 20.9% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-03 #56 Michael Lorenzen · 13.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-02 #36 Tomoyuki Sugano · 15.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-01 #36 Kyle Freeland · 26.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-31 #108 Shane McClanahan · 20.4% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-30 #121 Drew Rasmussen · 11.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-29 #91 Nick Martinez · 11.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-27 #185 Casey Mize · 9.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-26 #124 Keider Montero · 8.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-24 #40 MacKenzie Gore · 27.4% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #119 Jacob deGrom · 14.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-21 #30 Luis Severino · 16.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-20 #93 Aaron Civale · 12.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-19 #57 Jacob Lopez · 18.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-18 #90 J.T. Ginn · 11.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-16 #105 Justin Wrobleski · 9.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-15 #87 Blake Snell · 17.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-13 #202 Parker Messick · 13.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-12 #142 Slade Cecconi · 14.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-11 #97 Joey Cantillo · 13.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-10 #125 Spencer Miles · 10.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-08 #146 Dylan Cease · 12.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-06 #195 Noah Schultz · 14.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-05 #119 Erick Fedde · 15.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-04 #149 Davis Martin · 8.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-03 #156 Clay Holmes · 11.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-02 #120 Nolan McLean · 13.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #141 Christian Scott · 11.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-29 #167 Erick Fedde · 13.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-28 #114 Davis Martin · 15.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-27 #40 Anthony Kay · 30.5% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-26 #115 Seth Lugo · 18.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-25 #98 Cole Ragans · 34.5% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-24 #88 Noah Cameron · 33.3% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-22 #23 Eric Lauer · 38.6% 🟢 A 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-21 #16 Patrick Corbin · 36.8% 🟢 A 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-20 #35 Dylan Cease · 31.3% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-19 #65 Michael King · 32.5% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-18 #37 Germán Márquez · 47.3% 🔥 A+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-17 #27 Matt Waldron · 43.8% 🔥 A+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-16 #86 Max Fried · 19.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-12 #37 Andrew Abbott · 15.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
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