2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHC RHB
Seiya Suzuki

Seiya Suzuki

RHB
CHC · 59 appearances tracked
6
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
10.2%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
23.4%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
89.0
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.197
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#3
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 2 games · 6 HRs in 59 games
Due (1×)
6.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
12
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
2
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
59
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
22
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
3
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
50%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#83.1
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
3 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-23 #31 Cristopher Sánchez Wrigley Field · · · 103.6 mph 393.0 ft
2026-04-25 #50 Roki Sasaki Dodger Stadium · · · 103.8 mph 404.0 ft
2026-06-11 #25 Ryan Feltner Coors Field · · · 107.7 mph 400 ft
All Appearances
59 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #132 Nolan McLean R/R * 13.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-24 #114 Sean Manaea R/R * 11.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #74 Kodai Senga R/R * 14.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #69 Kodai Senga R/R * 14.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #123 Dylan Cease R/R * 12.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #70 Patrick Corbin R/L * 13.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #63 Kevin Gausman R/R * 22.9% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #38 COL Bullpen Proxy R/ 19.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #43 Ryan Feltner R/R * 22.1% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #25 Michael Lorenzen R/R * 21.2% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #115 Trevor McDonald R/R * 20.3% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #141 Landen Roupp R/R * 16.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-11 #25 Ryan Feltner · 16.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-06-10 #33 Michael Lorenzen · 15.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-09 #11 Tomoyuki Sugano · 15.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-07 #57 Trevor McDonald · 17.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-06 #115 Landen Roupp · 14.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-05 #63 Robbie Ray · 12.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-06-03 #126 Jeffrey Springs · 10.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-02 #163 Gage Jump · 7.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-31 #142 Matthew Liberatore · 9.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-30 #122 Kyle Leahy · 11.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-29 #148 Andre Pallante · 11.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-28 #84 Paul Skenes · 10.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-27 #155 Bubba Chandler · 8.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-26 #218 Braxton Ashcraft · 9.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-24 #169 Peter Lambert · 14.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-23 #191 Kai-Wei Teng · 10.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-22 #123 Spencer Arrighetti · 15.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-20 #103 Kyle Harrison · 16.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-19 #84 Jacob Misiorowski · 17.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-18 #43 Brandon Sproat · 30.1% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-17 #49 Erick Fedde · 39.1% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-16 #83 Davis Martin · 15.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-15 #85 Sean Burke · 25.6% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-14 #41 Chris Sale · 24.8% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-05 #3 Andrew Abbott · 35.0% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-29 #131 Matt Waldron · 34.6% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-28 #125 Walker Buehler · 35.5% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-27 #80 Randy Vásquez · 26.5% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-26 #55 Justin Wrobleski · 26.7% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #50 Roki Sasaki · 35.4% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-24 #66 Emmet Sheehan · 35.5% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-23 #31 Cristopher Sánchez · 25.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-19 #198 Tobias Myers · 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-17 #261 Kodai Senga · 8.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-15 #13 Jesús Luzardo · 24.4% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-11 #74 Braxton Ashcraft · 12.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-10 #56 Carmen Mlodzinski · 17.1% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-04-08 #37 Joe Boyle · 17.3% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-04-07 #28 Drew Rasmussen · 19.2% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-04-06 #15 Shane McClanahan · 23.6% 🔵 C+ · — · · ·
2026-04-05 #78 Parker Messick · 13.3% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-04-05 #26 Slade Cecconi · 16.2% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-04-04 #30 Slade Cecconi · 16.2% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-04-01 #50 Yusei Kikuchi · 14.2% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-03-31 #40 José Soriano · 16.2% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-03-30 #8 Ryan Johnson · 19.2% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-03-26 #7 Cade Cavalli · 18.0% ⚪ D · — · · ·
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