2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz
PIT LHB
Spencer Horwitz

Spencer Horwitz

LHB
PIT · 66 appearances tracked
8
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
12.1%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
16.1%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
86.0
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.158
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#23
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 4 games · 8 HRs in 66 games
Due (1×)
0.8×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
3
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
4
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
66
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
9
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
1
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
12%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#128.1
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
1 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-06-20 #26 Tomoyuki Sugano Coors Field L/R ⚠️ 102.7 mph 434 ft
All Appearances
66 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #161 Bryan Woo L/R * 9.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-23 #133 George Kirby L/R * 10.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-21 #34 Michael Lorenzen L/R * 26.3% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #26 Tomoyuki Sugano L/R * 17.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-19 #34 Kyle Freeland L/L * 15.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #37 Aaron Civale L/R * 16.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #77 Jack Perkins L/R * 11.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #27 J.T. Ginn L/R * 20.5% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #99 Max Meyer L/R * 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-13 #83 Lake Bachar L/R * 16.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-12 #66 Sandy Alcantara L/R * 16.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-11 #66 Justin Wrobleski · 15.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-10 #124 Shohei Ohtani · 9.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-06-07 #99 Bryce Elder · 12.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-06-06 #53 Spencer Strider · 17.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-05 #57 Martín Pérez · 14.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-04 #30 Kai-Wei Teng · 19.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-03 #40 Spencer Arrighetti · 16.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-02 #25 Mike Burrows · 26.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-31 #102 Zebby Matthews · 17.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-30 #95 Bailey Ober · 18.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-29 #100 Taj Bradley · 16.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-28 #23 Colin Rea · 17.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-27 #71 Jameson Taillon · 18.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-26 #133 Jordan Wicks · 10.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-25 #138 Ben Brown · 9.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-24 #143 Dylan Cease · 10.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-23 #116 Patrick Corbin · 9.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #204 Kevin Gausman · 8.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-21 #84 Dustin May · 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-20 #167 Michael McGreevy · 9.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-17 #204 Zack Wheeler · 6.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-15 #180 Aaron Nola · 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-14 #116 Chase Dollander · 7.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-13 #109 Jose Quintana · 9.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-12 #144 Michael Lorenzen · 9.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-10 #150 Tyler Mahle · 6.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-09 #190 Landen Roupp · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-07 #144 Zac Gallen · 5.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-06 #266 Michael Soroka · 7.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-05 #201 Eduardo Rodriguez · 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-03 #192 Chase Burns · 10.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-02 #209 Rhett Lowder · 6.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #188 Brady Singer · 9.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-30 #121 Hunter Dobbins · 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-29 #200 Andre Pallante · 6.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-04-28 #183 Kyle Leahy · 7.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-27 #114 Dustin May · 9.5% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-25 #169 Jacob Misiorowski · 12.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-24 #153 Brandon Woodruff · 11.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-23 #123 Jacob deGrom · 9.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-22 #238 Jack Leiter · 12.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #260 Drew Rasmussen · 5.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-17 #246 Nick Martinez · 5.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-12 #75 Jameson Taillon · 7.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-11 #130 Edward Cabrera · 8.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-08 #189 Michael King · 5.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-07 #212 Nick Pivetta · 5.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-06 #159 Germán Márquez · 5.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-05 #201 Chris Bassitt · 7.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-04 #162 Shane Baz · 8.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-01 #163 Andrew Abbott · 10.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-31 #78 Brandon Williamson · 13.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-30 #106 Chase Burns · 12.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-29 #123 Nolan McLean · 11.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-03-26 #107 Freddy Peralta · 9.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
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