2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Trent Grisham
Trent Grisham
NYY LHB
Trent Grisham

Trent Grisham

LHB
NYY · 60 appearances tracked
5
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
8.3%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
16.7%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
91.4
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.184
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#3
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 7 games · 5 HRs in 60 games
Due (1×)
0.9×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
6
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
7
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
60
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
22
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
3
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
60%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#72.3
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
3 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-19 #32 Cole Ragans Yankee Stadium · · · 103.0 mph 369.0 ft
2026-04-25 #49 Mike Burrows Minute Maid Park · · · 99.4 mph 363.0 ft
2026-05-02 #19 Kyle Bradish Yankee Stadium · · · 105.6 mph 412.0 ft
All Appearances
60 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-12 #124 Trey Yesavage L/R * 9.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-10 #121 Parker Messick · 9.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-09 #108 Slade Cecconi · 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-08 #74 Gavin Williams · 10.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-07 #115 Ranger Suarez · 13.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-06 #122 Ranger Suarez · 13.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-05 #137 Sonny Gray · 9.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-06-04 #68 Slade Cecconi · 9.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-03 #119 Gavin Williams · 10.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-02 #125 Joey Cantillo · 11.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-31 #96 Jacob Lopez · 15.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-30 #106 J.T. Ginn · 15.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-29 #74 Luis Severino · 13.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-26 #102 Bailey Falter · 10.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-25 #121 Michael Wacha · 8.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-24 #108 Drew Rasmussen · 13.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-22 #46 Nick Martinez · 10.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-21 #20 Braydon Fisher · 9.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-20 #43 Trey Yesavage · 10.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-19 #27 Dylan Cease · 10.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-18 #26 Patrick Corbin · 16.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-17 #41 Freddy Peralta · 13.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-16 #59 Huascar Brazobán · 9.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-15 #68 Clay Holmes · 11.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-13 #58 Kyle Bradish · 13.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-11 #19 Brandon Young · 12.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-10 #102 Logan Henderson · 10.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-09 #115 Kyle Harrison · 9.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-08 #91 Jacob Misiorowski · 10.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-07 #10 MacKenzie Gore · 13.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-06 #16 Nathan Eovaldi · 16.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-05 #74 Jacob deGrom · 16.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-04 #24 Shane Baz · 13.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-02 #19 Kyle Bradish · 15.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-29 #120 Nathan Eovaldi · 17.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-28 #116 Jacob deGrom · 18.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-27 #69 Jack Leiter · 19.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-26 #117 Spencer Arrighetti · 23.3% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-25 #49 Mike Burrows · 22.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-24 #57 Lance McCullers Jr. · 22.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-23 #95 Payton Tolle · 14.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-22 #119 Ranger Suarez · 16.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-21 #136 Connelly Early · 13.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-19 #32 Cole Ragans · 15.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-18 #52 Noah Cameron · 11.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-17 #68 Michael Wacha · 12.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-16 #57 Brent Suter · 14.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-14 #110 Reid Detmers · 4.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-12 #20 Drew Rasmussen · 23.1% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-11 #47 Nick Martinez · 16.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-09 #16 Jeffrey Springs · 19.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-08 #52 Luis Severino · 16.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-07 #32 Aaron Civale · 18.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-05 #12 Chris Paddack · 19.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-04 #3 Max Meyer · 23.5% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-01 #31 George Kirby · 15.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-31 #38 Logan Gilbert · 16.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-30 #82 Luis Castillo · 13.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-28 #187 Tyler Mahle · 8.9% ⚪ D · — · · ·
2026-03-27 #45 Robbie Ray · 12.6% ⚪ D · — · · ·
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