2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Tristan Peters
Tristan Peters
CWS LHB
Tristan Peters

Tristan Peters

LHB
CWS · 53 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
5.7%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
3.8%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
87.0
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.093
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#33
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 19 games · 3 HRs in 53 games
Due (1×)
0.4×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
8
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
19
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
53
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
2
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#179.4
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
53 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #162 Tanner Bibee L/R * 9.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #147 Gavin Williams L/R * 9.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #158 Keider Montero L/R * 9.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-20 #95 Troy Melton L/R * 10.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-19 #135 Tarik Skubal L/L 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-18 #33 Ryan Weathers L/L * 10.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-16 #88 Gerrit Cole L/R * 10.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-14 #178 Emmet Sheehan L/R * 9.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #202 Yoshinobu Yamamoto L/R * 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-12 #174 Roki Sasaki L/R * 7.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-10 #189 Chris Sale · 7.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-09 #161 Grant Holmes · 8.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-07 #174 Aaron Nola · 8.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-06 #185 Andrew Painter · 7.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-05 #209 Jesús Luzardo · 8.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-03 #240 Taj Bradley · 6.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-01 #134 Joe Ryan · 6.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-31 #174 Keider Montero · 9.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-29 #173 Troy Melton · 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-28 #40 Simeon Woods Richardson · 11.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-26 #83 Joe Ryan · 10.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-25 #98 Zebby Matthews · 8.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-24 #102 Robbie Ray · 8.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-23 #126 Adrian Houser · 11.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #201 Trevor McDonald · 10.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-20 #190 Emerson Hancock · 11.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-19 #187 Bryce Miller · 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-18 #207 Bryan Woo · 5.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-17 #233 Colin Rea · 6.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-16 #224 Jameson Taillon · 7.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-15 #233 Edward Cabrera · 7.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-13 #259 Seth Lugo · 4.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-12 #251 Stephen Kolek · 4.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-10 #234 Logan Gilbert · 7.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-09 #243 Luis Castillo · 5.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-08 #235 Emerson Hancock · 7.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #229 Walbert Ureña · 5.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-04 #172 José Soriano · 6.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-03 #231 Griffin Canning · 6.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-02 #221 Michael King · 5.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-01 #216 Germán Márquez · 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-28 #213 José Soriano · 5.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-27 #121 Jack Kochanowicz · 4.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-25 #228 Jake Irvin · 7.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-24 #193 PJ Poulin · 7.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-23 #146 Michael Soroka · 5.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-22 #261 Eduardo Rodriguez · 5.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-21 #242 Merrill Kelly · 5.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-19 #193 Jeffrey Springs · 6.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-18 #182 Luis Severino · 8.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-17 #168 Aaron Civale · 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-14 #146 Shane McClanahan · 0.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-29 #187 Brandon Sproat · 1.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
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