2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz
HOU RHB
Yainer Diaz

Yainer Diaz

RHB
HOU · 49 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
6.1%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
12.8%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
87.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.124
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#14
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 25 games · 3 HRs in 49 games
Due (1×)
0.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
1
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
25
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
49
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
3
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#108.4
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
49 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #148 Trey Yesavage R/R * 14.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #181 TOR Bullpen Proxy R/ 8.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-22 #181 Dylan Cease R/R * 10.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #180 Joey Cantillo R/L * 9.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #165 Tanner Bibee R/R * 9.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #188 Framber Valdez · 8.8% ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-28 #65 Nathan Eovaldi · 11.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-27 #154 Jacob deGrom · 12.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-26 #167 Jack Leiter · 10.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-22 #95 Jameson Taillon · 17.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-18 #123 Kendry Rojas · 7.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-13 #169 Bryce Miller · 5.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-12 #163 Bryan Woo · 8.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-11 #51 George Kirby · 9.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-10 #57 Andrew Abbott · 10.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-09 #51 Chase Burns · 8.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-06 #64 Tyler Glasnow · 12.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-05 #216 Shohei Ohtani · 6.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-04 #56 Yoshinobu Yamamoto · 7.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-03 #181 Ranger Suarez · 7.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-02 #158 Connelly Early · 6.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-30 #72 Brandon Young · 10.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-30 #57 Chris Bassitt · 11.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-29 #14 Chris Bassitt · 11.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-28 #57 Shane Baz · 10.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-25 #78 Ryan Weathers · 13.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-24 #94 Will Warren · 12.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-04-22 #69 Tanner Bibee · 9.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-21 #97 Parker Messick · 7.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-20 #59 Slade Cecconi · 9.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-19 #114 Matthew Liberatore · 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #167 Andre Pallante · 8.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-17 #197 Kyle Leahy · 7.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-16 #107 Juan Mejia · 7.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-15 #62 Jose Quintana · 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-13 #32 George Kirby · 10.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-12 #100 Logan Gilbert · 4.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-11 #165 Luis Castillo · 6.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-08 #92 Michael Lorenzen · 11.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-07 #109 Kyle Freeland · 10.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-06 #95 Ryan Feltner · 10.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-05 #57 Jacob Lopez · 14.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-04 #51 Luis Morales · 14.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-01 #79 Garrett Crochet · 13.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-31 #122 Brayan Bello · 11.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-30 #146 Ranger Suarez · 10.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-28 #100 Reid Detmers · 12.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-27 #61 Yusei Kikuchi · 12.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-26 #45 José Soriano · 13.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
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