2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 3 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 4 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 5 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 6 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 10 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 11 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 12 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs
Yandy Díaz
Yandy Díaz
TB RHB
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Díaz

RHB
TB · 64 appearances tracked
9
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
14.1%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
21.8%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
90.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.171
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#9
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 6 games · 9 HRs in 64 games
Due (1×)
2.3×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
14
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
6
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
64
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
15
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
3
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
33%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#98.5
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
3 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-05-29 #45 Walbert Ureña Tropicana Field · · · 104.4 mph 400 ft
2026-05-30 #47 Reid Detmers Tropicana Field · · · 103.6 mph 396 ft
2026-06-08 #17 Connelly Early Tropicana Field · · · 100.4 mph 390 ft
All Appearances
64 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-24 #128 Noah Cameron R/L * 10.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-23 #108 Luinder Avila R/R * 11.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-22 #96 Michael Wacha R/R * 12.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-21 #116 Andrew Alvarez R/L * 12.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #114 Cade Cavalli R/R * 12.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #68 PJ Poulin R/L * 11.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #109 Shohei Ohtani R/R * 14.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #85 Justin Wrobleski R/L * 13.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #30 Eric Lauer R/L * 17.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #80 Grayson Rodriguez R/R * 12.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #74 José Soriano R/R * 12.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #51 Sam Aldegheri R/L * 18.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-10 #30 Jake Bennett · 28.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-06-09 #40 Payton Tolle · 21.9% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-08 #17 Connelly Early · 24.4% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-06-07 #53 Sandy Alcantara · 20.9% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-06 #51 Lake Bachar · 25.5% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-05 #39 MIA Bullpen Proxy · 20.8% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-03 #35 Troy Melton · 20.8% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-02 #10 Jack Flaherty · 29.8% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-06-01 #12 Ty Madden · 34.8% 🟢 A 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-31 #30 Jack Kochanowicz · 26.7% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-30 #47 Reid Detmers · 20.3% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-05-29 #45 Walbert Ureña · 20.2% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-05-27 #9 Trey Gibson · 26.9% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-26 #20 Shane Baz · 26.1% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-25 #16 Kyle Bradish · 25.7% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-05-24 #34 Ryan Weathers · 23.4% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-22 #66 Gerrit Cole · 22.1% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-19 #92 Kyle Bradish · 9.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-18 #130 Trevor Rogers · 9.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-17 #165 Eury Pérez · 11.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-16 #129 Sandy Alcantara · 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-15 #174 Janson Junk · 6.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-13 #149 Dylan Cease · 9.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-12 #115 Patrick Corbin · 11.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-11 #61 Kevin Gausman · 12.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-10 #171 Payton Tolle · 10.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-09 #162 Payton Tolle · 9.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-08 #170 Connelly Early · 9.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-07 #146 Jake Bennett · 10.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-06 #149 Patrick Corbin · 13.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-05 #71 Kevin Gausman · 16.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-03 #60 Tyler Mahle · 20.4% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-02 #102 Landen Roupp · 8.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-01 #122 Robbie Ray · 10.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-29 #156 Gavin Williams · 13.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-28 #137 Tanner Bibee · 8.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-27 #77 Parker Messick · 10.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-26 #202 Simeon Woods Richardson · 8.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-04-25 #189 Bailey Ober · 8.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-24 #190 Taj Bradley · 9.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-22 #146 Brandon Williamson · 9.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-21 #134 Chase Burns · 10.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-20 #118 Rhett Lowder · 8.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-19 #231 Mitch Keller · 7.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-18 #210 Paul Skenes · 9.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-17 #186 Bubba Chandler · 8.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-16 #73 Jordan Leasure · 12.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-15 #105 Sean Burke · 1.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-12 #114 Cam Schlittler · 2.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-10 #127 Luis Gil · 10.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-03-29 #61 Dustin May · 15.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-28 #70 Michael McGreevy · 13.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
Six home runs to freedom

Yandy Díaz's full profile is waiting

Upgrade to see today’s matchup, HR profile, rank trend, HR history, and every signal behind this batter profile.

64 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.3.16 · build 516

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.