SD Bullpen Proxy
ATL
1
HRs Allowed
7.1%
HR Rate (Pool)
13.3%
Overall HR/FB
4.15
FIP
4.15
xFIP
+0.00
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
13.3%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
59th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
50.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.15
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
55th pctile
4.15
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.00
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
50th pctile
7.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
14
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
7.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 7.1% | 0.5 | 89.3mph | 99.0mph | 34.0° | 382ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 15 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 7.1% | 0.5 | 89.3mph | 99.0mph | 34.0° | 382ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 7.1% | 0.5 | 89.3mph | 99.0mph | 34.0° | 382ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
89.3
Avg Max EV
109.3
Max EV Allowed
6
Hard-Hit Proxy · 50.0%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
99.0
Avg HR EV
34.0°
Avg HR Launch
382
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Matt Olson | 109.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Mauricio Dubón | 103.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Dominic Smith | 107.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Mauricio Dubón | 102.9mph | 99.0mph | 34° | 382ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | Austin Riley | 100.6mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Mauricio Dubón | #175 | 36 | Petco Park | 99.0mph | 34.0° | 382ft |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
50.0%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Mike Yastrzemski | #204 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Dominic Smith | #195 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Ozzie Albies | #192 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Mauricio Dubón | #187 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Austin Riley | #145 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Matt Olson | #23 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-24 | Drake Baldwin | #17 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Mike Yastrzemski | #185 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Mauricio Dubón | #175 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dominic Smith | #173 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Ozzie Albies | #171 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Austin Riley | #132 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Drake Baldwin | #21 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-23 | Matt Olson | #15 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |