2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs 1 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 8 Curtis Mead 4 HRs · 9 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 10 Bo Bichette 4 HRs · 11 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 12 TJ Rumfield 4 HRs
SD Bullpen Proxy ATL
14 matchups scored · 2 game days
1 HRs Allowed
7.1% HR Rate (Pool)
13.3% Overall HR/FB
4.15 FIP
4.15 xFIP
+0.00 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
13.3%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
59th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
50.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.15
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
55th pctile
4.15
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.00
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
50th pctile
7.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
14
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
7.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 14 2 1 7.1% 0.5 89.3mph 99.0mph 34.0° 382ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 14 2 1 7.1% 0.5 89.3mph 99.0mph 34.0° 382ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 14 2 1 7.1% 0.5 89.3mph 99.0mph 34.0° 382ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
12 tracked BBE from 14 pool matchups
89.3
109.3
6
0
99.0
34.0°
382
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-24 Matt Olson 109.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-24 Mauricio Dubón 103.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Dominic Smith 107.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-23 Mauricio Dubón 102.9mph 99.0mph 34° 382ft Yes
2026-06-23 Austin Riley 100.6mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
2 days · 1 total HRs
HRs Allowed
1 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-23 Mauricio Dubón #175 36 Petco Park 99.0mph 34.0° 382ft
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
50.0%
50.0%
All Scored Matchups
14 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-24 Mike Yastrzemski #204 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Dominic Smith #195 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-24 Ozzie Albies #192 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Mauricio Dubón #187 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-24 Austin Riley #145 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-24 Matt Olson #23 65 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-24 Drake Baldwin #17 66 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Mike Yastrzemski #185 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Mauricio Dubón #175 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-23 Dominic Smith #173 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Ozzie Albies #171 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-23 Austin Riley #132 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-23 Drake Baldwin #21 67 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-23 Matt Olson #15 69 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
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