SF Bullpen Proxy
SF
1
HRs Allowed
7.1%
HR Rate (Pool)
12.4%
Overall HR/FB
4.24
FIP
4.24
xFIP
+0.00
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
12.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
48th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
85.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.24
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
58th pctile
4.24
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.00
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
50th pctile
7.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
14
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
7.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 99.9mph | · | · | · | Down -7.1pp |
| Last 15 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 7.1% | 0.5 | 99.0mph | 105.1mph | 23.0° | 395ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 7.1% | 0.5 | 99.0mph | 105.1mph | 23.0° | 395ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
99.0
Avg Max EV
110.3
Max EV Allowed
12
Hard-Hit Proxy · 85.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
105.1
Avg HR EV
23.0°
Avg HR Launch
395
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Austin Riley | 104.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Dominic Smith | 104.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Matt Olson | 103.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Austin Riley | 110.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Mauricio Dubón | 105.1mph | 105.1mph | 23° | 395ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | Mike Yastrzemski | 101.4mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Mauricio Dubón | #124 | 45 | Truist Park | 105.1mph | 23.0° | 395ft |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
85.7%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Mike Yastrzemski | #214 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Dominic Smith | #207 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Ozzie Albies | #206 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Mauricio Dubón | #192 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Austin Riley | #165 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Matt Olson | #35 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-26 | Drake Baldwin | #34 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Mike Yastrzemski | #204 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Dominic Smith | #165 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Ozzie Albies | #158 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Austin Riley | #131 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Mauricio Dubón | #124 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-17 | Drake Baldwin | #19 | 70 | 🟡 B | · — | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Matt Olson | #10 | 74 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |